Friday, July 11, 2014

Investing in Contemporary Art

“People don’t like contemporary art, but all art starts life as contemporary – I can’t really see a difference.”   
Damien Hirst, contemporary artist.

Purchasing contemporary art is now by some distance the most common route into the art world. Assuming that all art over a certain period of time which is of any investment value has been purchased, the art investor is left with contemporary art. This shouldn’t be a drawback to investing in art. To use an investment analogy, look at contemporary art as the tech start-up whereas classic or pre-war art might be a more mature share with generally steady growth.

What is contemporary art? Definitions vary, depending on who you ask (and even then, it can depend on which market they’re looking to sell it to). Take Christie’s as an example: everything since 1970 is given the “contemporary” tag, while anything before can merely be “20th century.” Sotheby’s doesn’t stray too far from this definition, with everything post-war to 1970 being “early contemporary” and everything post-1970 being “late contemporary.”

The definitions don’t end there, however. If one were to say “modern art,” what time period does it evoke? Most people would answer, “everything from the last few years until now.” In fact, modern art is everything from 1900 to 1970. To confuse matters, vintage cars are generally defined as being pre-1970s and yet modern art started in 1900? If it helps, think of art as being on a much longer scale than cars, which were only invented at the beginning of the 20th century.

Without bickering too much over the definitions, it is important to have a grasp of what’s going on when you first enter the market (be that through a fair, a gallery or just by approaching a dealer, more of which later). 1970 is a good drop-off point. Anything after there can be considered contemporary, regardless of whom you’re buying from or selling to. This includes two-dimensional works such as Kawara’s Today series of paintings (featuring that day’s date in white paint on a black canvass) to Chris Ofili’s Elephant Dung (also a series, believe it or not) right through video installations.

Part of the journey here – as with any journey – is not to be afraid of what you will encounter. That is particularly true of contemporary art. Broadly speaking, artists in the classic period set out to define beauty on a page or through sculpture. That genre of artists still exists in the contemporary sphere. Generally though, contemporary art’s goal is not to make you wonder at beauty; its goal is to make you wonder full-stop.

The most successful contemporary pieces of art have all evoked something; more often than not, something far from beauty. Loathe as we are to use the expression “wow factor,” it is very applicable to where the smart money goes in contemporary art investment. And if your reaction is less “wow,” and more of an expletive of your choice (and despite the expletive, you could live with the work), then you’ve probably hit on something.

Take some famous contemporary pieces to illustrate the point; Andy Warhol – arguably the most famous of all the contemporary artists and one whose raison d´être was to evoke a reaction – made a painting from his own urine. If an artist did this now, it would be looked on as old hat. But imagine how it was received at the time. “The painting is made from what?” We’re not saying we approve. We’re saying that the reaction of those people who first saw the picture and realized what it was made of – that’s a “wow” factor in contemporary art.

Marcus Harvey’s work Myra is another, more recent (and hygienic) example. It was featured in Sensation, an exhibition focusing on shock art by young British art graduates. It was an 11ft by 9ft painting of child murderer Myra Hindley – shocking in itself. However, Harvey went further and created the picture by using paint-covered images of children’s hands on the canvass. It’s enough to make you wince now, even after you’ve probably already heard of it. When the show opened, relatives of Hindley’s murder victims complained and men threw eggs at it. The painting needed full-time security. Marcus Harvey, fresh out of art school, had arrived.

There’s a clever line towards the 2011 movie, The Social Network that might capture all this rather succinctly. The egoist character Sean Parker is in the middle of a stand-off with the far more amicable Eduardo Saverin. The interaction goes like this:

            Sean Parker:             You think you know me, don’t you?

            Eduardo Saverin:     I’ve read enough.

            Sean Parker:             You know what I’ve read about you?

                                                A pause.

            Sean Parker:             (Whispers) Nothing.

In contemporary art, you want to back the one who people are talking about, not the one who people like but are saying nothing about. Remember this above all else when setting out in contemporary art. There are far more details to the industry than that, however (if only it was that simple). The cynic in many of us would like to believe that contemporary art is a few splashes of paint on a blank canvass claiming to symbolize something. They’re out there for sure. But they’re not the ones driving the industry.

A work becomes meaningful at least in part because of its price. Contemporary art is analogous to modern celebrity: many celebrities are famous for being famous. The same could be said about many piece of art. And they get famous through high prices, which act as signalling for other buyers in the market. If there were no reported auction results, it’s unlikely that several pieces would be regarded so highly. And just like modern celebrity, what’s considered fashionable today might be yesterday’s news very shortly; it’s a fine balance.

Research is essential. Even with all the advice you find here and elsewhere, there is no substitute – as with any field – for knowing as much as, or more than, your peers. Having knowledge of different artists and trends in the contemporary art industry will be the difference between breaking the bank and making a return. Most of the people who make money from investing in art are passionate about it, so it’s easy for them to research: it’s not work to them – it’s something they might be doing even if there were no financial return in it.

One of the things that art as an investment has over other traditional investments, is that it is still under-researched (in our opinion). Whereas stocks on the LSE or AIM are researched to the most minute detail, how many investors from other fields know which up-and-coming contemporary artists’ works have grown in price more than any others. They probably don’t know where art trends are headed, or what makes one piece sell while another doesn’t. Despite this, they continue to pour money into art and the trend is likely to continue. While you may not be a quantitative analyst, your newly-acquired knowledge of the art world can give you an advantage over people that are.

Be particularly wary about taking advice from art journalists (a somewhat ironic piece of advice, coming as it does in a document advising on art investing). Many art journalists work for publications, which have vested interests. They may receive money from galleries, dealers or collectors. In some cases, they may even possess works of artists they report to be good investment choices. Inform yourself certainly, but don’t put too many chips on an artist on the basis of what an art journalist says. They won’t take the financial hit if their hunch is wrong – you will.

Critics occupy a similar space to journalists. One famous example of the conflict of interest inherent in these roles was exhibited by David Sylvester, a British art critic. Sylvester used to review pieces by William de Kooning at the same time that de Kooning was providing him with new works. The man was almost literally writing himself extraordinary profits. Luckily, art critics usually have little influence on the contemporary art world, artists’ success or the prices of works. As senior art critic at the Village Voice magazine and 3-time winner of the Pulitzer Prize for criticism, Jerry Saltz says, “at no time in the past 50 years has an art critic had less of an effect on the market than now.”

Elsewhere, remember that you can’t say “contemporary” without “temporary.” Art magazines and journals from just ten years ago are littered with the names of the hottest new artist and their latest exhibition. Where are they now? Many of them have had fleeting moments in the spotlight. The cull-rate is quite huge, illustrating how difficult trying to purchase right in the market can be. As a general rule-of-thumb, around 2% last more than 15 years at the major galleries. Around 80% of works will never again receive the price they achieved at auction. Some odds.

Despite this, good investments in contemporary art are found on a regular basis. Like many investments, you won’t know if it gives a good return until many years later. Even if an artist is “hot” as the industry likes to put it, it doesn’t make it a good investment when you buy it at an affordable price. Affordable may mean cheap or it may mean expensive, depending on where the value of the work goes in the future. Time will be the ultimate judge of that.

In this document, we will look at several aspects of the contemporary art world: the artists, collectors, galleries, dealers and auctions. We will show that the contemporary art world is particular in ways that more traditional spheres of art are not. It is more dynamic, more liquid, more fickle and in most cases, more surprising. There are several rules of thumb, which don’t apply as much to other spheres and we’ll give you good background on these rules so that when you do begin trading, you’ve got a head start on where you are at this very moment. Enjoy.

 Artists

“All great contemporary artists, schooled or not, are essentially self-taught and de-skilling like crazy”
Jerry Saltz

It can be tempting for outsiders looking in at contemporary artists to believe there’s more hot air to the industry than any real talent. But the statistics surrounding artists in the contemporary art world are quite phenomenal. For example, it is thought that around 40,000 artists living in each of New York and London. Of these, there are between 50 and 100 “superstar” artists making 7-figure salaries. In the next tier, there are around 300 or so artists who display in major galleries (and probably responsible for generating some of the hot air that gives the industry a bad name). The next 5 to 10,000 are represented by mainstream galleries and their salaries are generally very volatile.

Therefore, in two large metropolises with a combined population of around 40 million people, at best 2,000 artists are making a steady living. Or one in 20,000 people. At any one time, 15,000 artists in London alone are thought to be looking for representation from an agent. Even the most world-weary cynic would find it hard to have some sympathy for the contemporary artist given these figures. It should serve as a reminder each time you see a sought-after artist that they have already made it past several hurdles. There’s probably something exceptional about them that attracted a mainstream dealer or one of the superstar dealers (more of which later).

Who are the great contemporary artists? And what defines great? For our purposes, a great artist is one who has staying power; an artist who isn’t “today’s thing”. The staying power will also give them long-term value from an art investment perspective. When Andy Warhol notoriously said, “in the future, everyone will be world-famous for 15 minutes,” it was probably inspired by contemporary art as much as contemporary celebrity. The maxim applies to several contemporary artists. The artist Ed Ruscha is a case in point: Ruscha was the darling of the New York and London contemporary art scenes in the 1980s. In the 1990s, his paintings disappeared from gallery walls. Such is the fickle nature of the industry and the inherent danger of investing in contemporary art.

Returning to Andy Warhol for a moment; Warhol was undoubtedly part-marketer, part-artist. We will let the reader decide what proportion of each! However, this is relevant as most of the most successful contemporary artists have a real handle on both. The flowery language that on-lookers associate with the contemporary art world has become far more sophisticated over the past few years. Artists have to be quotable. It’s not that Andy Warhol invented this. Artists were given mouthpieces in the Renaissance as well. He certainly sought to capitalize on it, however. Most contemporary artists are the same. Good sound bites make cover. Good cover generates publicity and publicity sells art.

The constant need for publicity drives at least some artists to wring every last piece of publicity-generating potential from their works. A good example is provided by the names now chosen for the works they produce. Whereas once Girl with a Pearl Earring sufficed as the name of a painting, these days the name of a work can be as creative as the piece itself (and sometimes more). Damien Hirst stands out in this field with titles for his pieces such as Isolated Elements Swimming in the Same Direction for the Purposes of Understanding or The Physical Impossibility of Death in the Mind of Someone Living. Hirst is not alone, however. It’s a veritable trend. Big White Cock is another one. Although it is in fact the depiction of a farmyard animal by Terence Koh, the intention with the naming is clear. Artists know a name like this can generate talk around a piece, drawing the eyes of readers in auction catalogues to their work and thus think hard before giving a name to each piece.

Take your pick of the contemporary artists that spring to mind and look for their quotes. Artists looking to sell their works are like politicians with paint-brushes. Here’s Jeff Koons: “Art to me is a humanitarian act and I believe that there is a responsibility that art should somehow be able to affect mankind, to make the world a better place”; one from Felix Gonzales-Torres: “Always think about practise…theory is not the endpoint of work – it is the work along the way to work”; and then Cindy Sherman: “the still must tease with the promise of a story the viewer of it itches to be told.” None of these are blurted out without thinking. They are well-thought of sound bites by intelligent contemporary artists.

Jeff Koons' Ballon Dog: "A humanitarian act."

Where artists are concerned, mystique sells, just as it does in most industries. When an artist dies young, it gives them a certain allure that the living probably don’t always have. Art dealers, galleries and collectors buy into this as much as anyone else; remember that Vincent van Gogh didn’t sell any pieces during his lifetime (aside from those he sold to his brother). These days, the majority of his pieces reside in the Vincent van Gogh museum in Amsterdam. It receives 30,000 paying visitors a week. Many of the exhibits on show are the letters he wrote to his brother, which help to reinforce the narrative of a troubled artist.

Artists aren’t all about allure of course. Phillippe Seaglot, a respected New York Art consultant says that you can pick great artists early. According to him, if you can’t, they’re unlikely to ever amount to anything. For the record, his list of the best contemporary artists contains a number of household names: Jeff Koons, Jean-Michel Basquiat, Cindy Sherman, Richard Prince, Felix Gonzales-Torres, Charles Ray, Mike Kelley, Martin Kippenbgerger, David Hammons, Andreas Gursky, Damien Hirst and Maurizio Cattelan. Inevitably, most of the artists’ work he lists are at the higher end of the market. Most consultants don’t want to disclose the next up-and-coming artist unless they’re holding some of their pieces.

A good place to start for investment is a new type of art. When Saatchi bought into the yBa’s (young British artists), it almost created a brand in itself. A new art movement can be a profitable place to look at art purchasing. Think of all the new movements down through the years and the money that would have been made if somebody got in on the ground in that movement. What many of these movements had in common with one another was their ability to infuriate people, often provoking them into the timeless adage, “that’s not art.” As soon as an art investor hears, “that’s not art,” about something new, their ears stand up.

To give an idea about where this has happened before in various ways, one doesn’t need to look too far or deep into art movements. Think of the likes of cubism and Pablo Picasso (someone who was a very accomplished classical painter before turning to experimentation), minimalism by Mark Rothko, comic art by Roy Lichtenstein and even impressionism by Claude Monet.

In the past, the style and subject matter of artists could be reasonably easily defined. Even the work of artists themselves could sometimes categorized into different genres or periods. For example, Van Gogh had his blue and yellow periods. The same can be said for today’s contemporary artists. As an example, Damien Hirst’s work falls into six separate categories: tank pieces such as the stuffed shark, the “cabinet series,” which is a collection of old-fashioned pharmacy cabinet displays, spot paintings (usually produced by assistants and not Hirst himself), pieces painted on a spinning potter’s wheel, butterfly paintings and finally, photorealist pieces. Hirst is still relatively young so perhaps more categories will be added as time goes on.

It’s something of a tautology, but the works you like will dictate which artists you look to more. This is relevant because it can provide a useful filter when looking at and research art. Investing in art is part enjoying the piece and part appreciating the artist themselves. The scope of what makes contemporary art is far wider than it was for traditional art, so filters will be required. Which is better? The candy-sculptures of Felix Gonzales-Torres or the (to some people) distressing Untitled by Jean-Michel Basquiat? Or even the Balloon Dog of Jeff Koons? The range of just these three pieces shows the breadth in work categorized as contemporary and how narrowing down research to certain artists can be useful.

There is no close relationship between the ranking of artists in terms of popularity and talent and the price that their works bring. For example, the rise in contemporary art prices is due in no small part to other schools of art rarely coming on the market. The shrinking supply of traditional art is due to the rise of museums in emerging economies and private collections all over the world. Needless to say, it has been a boon for contemporary artists. As a result, the narrative moves away from traditional art towards contemporary art and as a result, the prices rise.
Outside of the prices their pieces generate, another good indication that artists have become an industry in themselves are the spin-off products and places their names are now used to market. Damien Hirst’s Pharmacy restaurant in Notting Hill and products such as cars named after Picasso (with the permission of the Picasso estate) are cases in point. Does Damien Hirst even know how to cook? It’s certainly not what he is best known for. Be aware that many artists are becoming more business savvy and if they are business savvy themselves, there’s a good chance that their paintings will be worth more as well. We’re not saying that they’re in it for the money – rather that they know how to make it, and if they make it, the people who invest in their pieces will similarly benefit.

The example of Picasso is indicative. One visitor to his studio stood in front of one of his pieces for five minutes before asking:

“What does it represent?”

“Two thousand dollars,” came his response.

It’s notable that few women arise on the best contemporary artists lists of most experts in the field. This could represent an opportunity for new investors. The 20th century’s three most famous artists are Cindy Sherman, Frida Kahlo and Georgia O’Keefe. Outside of these three, there are few names that will raise any eyebrows for those outside the inner circles of contemporary art.

Another point to note is that the rising prices recorded for contemporary art (just look at a book on contemporary art from a few years ago and how it has dated already by way of example), encourages new artists to enter the field. This can be a good and a bad thing for an investor. It certainly creates new opportunities. On the down-side, it means more research and constantly keeping ahead of the pack; neither of which are an easy task. Nevertheless, if any investor were to broadly follow the guidelines we have provided, you won’t go too far wrong.

.Collectors

“Few people in contemporary art demonstrate much curiosity. The majority spend their days blathering on, rather than trying to work out why one artist is more interesting than the other, or why one picture works and another doesn’t.”
Charles Saatchi.

Charles Saatchi is well-versed on what works with art. And by that we mean not only what works on the page, but also what works in terms of the mechanics behind art collecting. Saatchi is arguably the world’s most famous collector along with a couple more collectors. He first began collecting art in the 1980s when he was still more famous for being the creative head of the largest advertising agency in the world. Saatchi’s agency was the brains behind, “Labour isn’t working,” and “BA: The World’s Favourite Airline.”  In other words, he had a good eye for what people want to see and hear before getting involved in contemporary art: no bad thing.
British Airways: The World's Favourite Airline, if you're to believe Charles Saatchi.
In the art world, Saatchi is credited with creating Damien Hirst (both the artist and the quotation machine). This has been highly lucrative for both and is as good an indication as any of the power that Saatchi yields as a collector. In fact, depending on the artist and the event, he can sometimes be curator, backer or owner of art collections. He is one of the few super-collectors. A group who are not only extremely wealthy but also have their interest in an artists’ work create a market for the artist. The group is small but undoubtedly growing. To the ranks of Charles Saatchi and others like Frank Cohen, have come others from Russian, Chinese and middle-Eastern backgrounds.

The list of super collectors can be viewed as a list of influencers. They are the ones walked around art fairs unattended hours before everyone else is even enter. They don’t pay to enter the fairs – everyone else does. Their endorsement for a piece of contemporary art shows liquidity in that part of the market. It also hints that there might be further purchases made by the collector of the same artist and as such, generally pushes up prices across the board. It’s the contemporary art world’s somewhat naïve form of technical analysis. Naïve it may be, but it has generated money for people who have followed it. The more well-known names outside of Saatchi and Cohen include Bernard Arnault of LVMH, Eli Broad, an investment banker and Ronald O. Perelman a venture capitalist and Francois Pinault, owner of Gucci.

People can speculate on the real motives behind these collectors, but for our purposes, it’s more relevant to analyse how they work and how their actions affect the market at large. Saatchi is perhaps the most interesting of the largest group of collectors because of his ability to create a buzz around an artist (just as he could previously do with commercial brands) and let’s be fair, a good eye for art. More than any other collector, it seems he has a finger on the mechanics of the contemporary art world and entered it in the late 1980s with the ability to spot trends and opportunities that existed in the market at the time (and sometimes persist to this day).

Like any good collector, Saatchi has a firm grasp of marketing (the best place for your works is an exhibition at a museum or an exclusive gallery), economics (he often corners markets to create a scarcity of supply or buys in bulk and asks for quantity discounts) and even finance (sometimes playing financial backer to exhibitions showcasing his own artists’ work). Aligned to a strong set of industry contacts and an eye for spotting trends, it’s a truly impressive set of skills for any collector to possess and gives him a lead over his competitors in the market. It’s also a set of skills anyone looking to set out in the world of contemporary art investing should aspire to.

Saatchi is sometimes credited (wrongly, in our opinion) with the emergence of “shock art,” which itself helped give him a reputation among art collectors. This was an example of his marketing prowess and one of the skills that we refer to above. In 1997, the Sensation show at the Royal Academy in London included over 100 works by 40 yBa’s (an industry acronym for young British artists), which almost entirely focused on shock art. Even the name chosen for the exhibition was bombastic. The art generated publicity – Saatchi’s speciality. Nearly 300,000 people visited the show that year, more than any other exhibition in the UK in 1997.
Freeze exhibition of student art has provided a happy hunting ground for him over the years, with him sometimes purchasing entire collections of students. This is an excellent filter for any art collector – the Freeze shows the best of young British talent. Who else would become the best artists in the years ahead? Sure, artists can spring from anywhere but the Royal Academy of Art has already applied such strict filters that they have done much of Saatchi’s work for him already.

Positioning, in the most physical sense, is also essential for contemporary art. This is true for investors at the bottom of the market as it as at the top: art needs to be presented well. Saatchi pioneered the now common stark white setting for contemporary art spaces at a former paint factory in an exclusive part of London. He also published a book to publicize those same pieces of art hanging on their wall: Art in our Times – the Saatchi Collection. The steps he took to become such an influential art dealer seem somewhat obvious now but pieced all together, they make a highly impressive how-to guide for someone looking to enter the contemporary art world.

Saatchi didn’t stop with the Royal Academy (sometimes ironically – or jealously- referred to as the Saatchi Gallery). In 2006, he created an online space for unknown artists to exhibit their works known as yourgallery. The site quickly gained several thousand artists keen to exhibit their work and allowed many to sign to galleries through the site. Again, it showed Saatchi’s innovation and how his tentacles have spread to the furthest corners of the art world, touching even on those unknown artists who haven’t made it to the Royal Academy for whatever reason.

We have included this chapter to show the influence of large collectors on the market as a whole. Charles Saatchi is just one of many – and unquestionably the most successful and influential. His endorsement for an unknown artist is like the endorsement of Warren Buffett for a small unknown company. Watch the stock price rise exponentially as soon as the famous investor purchases anything and you’ll get a glimpse into how prices react to Saatchi purchasing a work as well.

We should sound a note of caution here, however. Even Charles Saatchi is unlikely to get it right forever. His genius has been in reading and creating trends, but it’s worth remembering that Saatchi & Saatchi was overtaken in the advertising world just as Charles Saatchi might one be in the contemporary art world. As much as collectors like Saatchi would like to put their success down to turning art investing into a science, it is scarcely true. At least, not yet. The famous collector Ron Lauder divides paintings into three categories: “oh,” “oh my” and “oh my God.” He claims to only collect the last type. This approach, although it seems to work for him, would hardly make it into the Scientific American. The anecdote we provided about 15,000 artists trawling the streets of London looking for representation is a small (or not so small, as the case may be) indication of how dynamic this industry is.

Charles Saatchi was and is shrewd and intelligent. It’s not particularly shrewd or intelligent to be a “me-too” in the world of contemporary art, even if you sometimes can make good returns on this policy. His example shows more than anything that brains, creativity and innovation make money in art. That is as true for art collectors as it is for the artists themselves.

 Art Dealers

“All my dealers are the best of people. ..they earn every dollar of their commissions as they are in full partnership with their artists. I can sit in my studio and do nothing but paint.”

Harley Brown.

Looking at super collectors is a useful way of see the mechanics at the upper end of the art world. It’s even useful to see where some trends are emerging (although the best investors will be able to spot these even before the biggest collectors). Art dealerships are the incubation houses of any successful contemporary art, however. It an artist can’t make it past an art dealer, the reality is that they’re unlikely to make it at all.

Dealers go hand-in-hand with art galleries, holding their own dealerships as they do. A good dealer, like a good collector, plays a number of roles at once. They need to wear several hats: that of marketer (notice how this comes up again and again in contemporary art), relationship manager (a dealer is hamstringed if they don’t possess wealthy clients as well as access to marketable talent), and art experts. Their rank includes the likes of Tim Marlow at White Cube, Harry Blain of Haunch and Venison and Ileana Sonnabend of the Sonnabend Gallery. They can sometimes play the role of curators or university historians of art. It’s not difficult to see why they sometimes have as much influence on the market as those bearing the cash.

Of all the roles in the contemporary art world, dealers is probably the most difficult. Statistically, it doesn’t have anywhere near the same number of casualties as the category of artists but then again, it requires more financial input than that of the artists. It’s also more of a do-or-die profession than that of artist: whereas an artist’s first exhibition may not go down so well, there’s a chance their second and third may be better received. As for dealers, realistically, how many times can an art dealer knock on the door of a high net-worth individual claiming to have found the next big thing in contemporary art? A dealer in contemporary art whose contacts never return their calls is lost.

There is no exact pattern among dealerships in terms of who they represent. For example, among the most renowned dealerships, PaceWildenstein in New York hold a very large inventory of work while across town, L&M hold a much smaller inventory. The famous dealer Larry Gagosian (now the biggest contemporary art dealer in the world by most estimates) represents most of the well-known contemporary artists (Larry Kroons and David Hirst to name but two) while others, such as Mitchell-Innes & Nash specialize in representing artists’ estates.

The economics of dealership also vary by artist, the terms of the deal and timing. For example, Larry Gagosian is thought to charge a commission of around 30% for Damien Hirst – far below what he might charge for anyone else. That said, the market for Damien Hirst has been so liquid for the past number of years that 30% even seems high. In general, it works thus: The dealer takes 50% of the selling price as a commission. If the dealer shows an artist who is under contract to another dealer, at least 10% of each sale is returned to the primary dealer. The figure can be as high as 25% if the artist is considered “hot.” It’s the responsibility of the art dealer to negotiate reproduction and exhibition rights (if relevant).

The commission may seem high compared to other industries (investment bankers often take less than 2.5%, for example), but it betrays the amount of work that dealers put in to getting a sale (on assets which are usually far less liquid than those marketed by investment bankers). They are essentially responsible for managing the long-term career of their artists. In practise, this means placing a work with collectors, taking it to art fairs, placing it with dealers in other countries and working with museums. In essence, playing the role of a manager for the artist and putting their own financial neck on the line in doing so.

The more experienced dealers such as Gagosian or Jay Jopling’s White Cube in London will often take a piece home to look at it several times a day before making a purchase. This anecdotal evidence sets a good example to anyone looking to invest in contemporary art; if an investor is serious about paying for a piece, they should be very familiar with it – lending it for a few days if at all possible.

Many dealers deal in the primary (sales direct from the artist) and secondary markets (sales everywhere else), but which is more profitable. Intuitively, we might say the secondary markets as there fewer costs involved than that of the primary market. However, it’s never as straightforward as this and there are terms and conditions with every artist and collection that affect the margins and the deal received by the dealer. For example, one of the incentives offered to consignors and secondary market dealers is to purchase over-subscribed work from primary artists. These sales in turn have the ability to produce more contacts and create a liquid stream of business. As always in the art world, things need to be taken on a case by case basis.

Dealers increasingly wield power in ways that they previously didn’t. For example, many dealers call collector contacts to inform them of a piece, which the collector might not even have seen before. The piece might cost hundreds of thousands of dollars but the collector is still willing to make the purchase on the advice of the dealer. This kind of trust is hard to gain in any business and testifies to the growing influence of dealers. Given the influence these men and women have in the industry now, gaining access to them is essential to anyone looking to invest in contemporary art. Talking to them – if they’re willing to – can provide insights and gems of information that the investor is unlikely to encounter anywhere else in the contemporary art world.

 Galleries & Museums

“People go into a gallery and they’re afraid to express their opinions about art. No one’s afraid to say, ‘Keanu Reeves was bad in that movie.’ We see so many films that we can tell who’s faking it. But with art, we can’t always tell.”
William Quigley

The distinction between galleries and museums is a piece of terminology that often confuses people. It probably confused the author of the quote above, for example. A gallery is generally taken to be the private exhibition of a dealer. In other words, it is the home of the dealership. These range from the simple art gallery on the high street pitching the wares of unknown artists who may never register with the greater art community to so-called “superstar” galleries, owned by the likes of Larry Gagosian.

Museums, on the other hand, are generally (but not always) public and between them all, hold a wealth of art (contemporary and otherwise), which is the envy of galleries, dealers and collectors everywhere. The galleries of Larry Gagosian (who is currently the world’s largest gallery owner in terms of floor space), look to sell everything on display; this can sometimes be true of a museum (particularly during a temporary exhibit) but the main goal is to drive visitors through its doors. There’s a distinction between the two, but some overlapping as well. All in all, it’s quite a symbiotic relationship at times.

Galleries are taking increasingly varied forms with Charles Saatchi’s latest gallery comprising more than 40,000 square feet and resembling more of a museum space, both for its size and the audacity of the work within its walls. Similarly, Bernard Arnault, another one of the A-list contemporary art collectors and major shareholder of luxury group LVMH, has developed a gallery to exhibit some of the works he has collected in LVMH’s flagship store on the Champs Elysées in Paris. Is this a gallery or a museum? The lines are being blurred to the extent that it can sometimes be hard to tell. What’s clear from the LVMH example is that art is being used to provide a certain provenance to the fashion on display and the fashion in its own way, probably keeps the art relevant.

The most renowned UK Galleries are those of Saatchi on London’s South Bank and Jay Jopling’s White Cube gallery in Hoxton Square in London. Appearance in either for an artist represents a major coup and a huge step-up the career ladder. As with Saatchi’s gallery, Jopling’s has come more to resemble a museum in its own right. To give some idea of the scale being spoken about, the building once housed a piano factory and has since had two extra floors added to the existing structure. It helps when exhibiting the growth in size of some of the artists´ works – particularly those by Damien Hirst.

The White Cube gallery differs from some of the other galleries of major dealers (such as those owned by Larry Gagosian, for example). It does not show its major pieces at regular intervals, instead preferring to send them to exhibitions around the world in the hope of increased exposure. The vast majority of the works on display are in fact foreign artists whose work is currently under consideration for representation. Many galleries give trial shows, but far less than Jopling who operates an interesting business model that attracts a lot of publicity. Remember what we said about staying power being relevant? Jopling insists that when he looks at art, he asks will it be relevant in 40 years’ time. It’s a difficult one to measure, surely even for an expert like Jopling.

Hopefully, this is where it becomes clear why we have added museums in the same section as galleries. Exhibitions held at galleries such as White Cube are not a case of first-come first-served. The first in line for acquisitions at galleries are almost without exception, art museums. Why? In the world of art (contemporary or traditional) nothing gives a piece provenance like being placed in a major museum. It is the ultimate stamp of authority where quality is concerned. And relevant to investors in the contemporary art world, it generally leads to a signifcant rise in the price of a work as well.

The touring exhibitions by museums provides their pieces not just with new audiences but equally provides the museums themselves with new revenues to acquire pieces. They are arguably competing with super collectors now for the best pieces. Other sources of revenue are the artists themselves (which could be seen as a conflict of interest, for sure). Again, like galleries and auction houses, this shows what a sophisticated business the world of art is becoming.

An example is provided by the case of the Los Angeles Musuem of Modern Art seeking help from the representatives of an artist it was exhibiting in 2007, Takashi Murakami. The dealers involved with Murakami received loans from collectors to put on the exhibit and purchased hundreds of tickets, which they distributed in turn to their own clients. Who gains here? The Museum of Modern art certainly does. And the artist and its dealers hope to. The public? That one is more debatable.

Museums would prefer that these details don’t emerge even if the logic behind them attempting these deals is clear. The relationship between museums, collectors and artists and their dealers becomes increasingly political as the race to gain the best pieces becomes more competitive. Charles Saatchi recommended that the Guggenheim purchase three works by American painter Alison Fox while she was still in college. He had already purchased three paintings of her own. Again, both parties gain (probably, especially, you would think, Saatchi).

Perhaps the most sought-after golden handshake in all of the art world is the mid-career retrospective for an artist. This creates (at least) a short-term spike in prices for the artists’ work and is a great source of power for any museum. Museum curators are supposedly harried by dealers and collectors on an ongoing basis to provide these retrospectives for the works of artists that they themselves hold. The potential for insider trading here is obvious.

What are museums doing with all the revenue generated from the various schemes listed? In short, they are upgrading. In some ways, museums have begun to mimic the very art that they contain. The more shocking, thought-provoking and in-your-face the architecture, the more they can attract visitors, the more they can generate more revenue to purchase new pieces. In some ways, what they hold has become secondary to how they look. Think of the Guggenheim in Bilbao by American architect Frank Gehry. It adorns tens of architecture books despite being less than 20 years old. How many pieces of art from inside can you name? It’s another dynamic which has developed in the art world and which won’t go away any time soon.

Serious investors in contemporary art should be aware that the annual rise in quantity of galleries and museums in percentage terms is more than that of the rise in artists. Exact figures aren’t available for this but the logic stands to reason: the population of the United Kingdom is more or less static, while that of the United States is around 2-3% per year. Meanwhile, the number of museums and galleries continue to expand at a higher pace. The example of Gagosian is a case in point. In terms of museums, the Guggenheim is probably the most obvious example. What difference does this make? It could distort the market, even with new investors coming online all the time. Remember, that having a piece “placed” in a Guggenheim doesn’t give the piece the same provenance when Guggenheim has 10 museums as it did when the Guggenheim was one museum at the corner of Central Park.

Auctions 

“The best works do not necessarily get to auction. I like to draw so maybe I give you a little drawing. And then eventually it ends up at auction. And then critics say, ‘oh, that’s a bad drawing!´ Well I didn’t say it was wonderful.”
Mariene Dumas

Art auctions are what most people consider when the words “art sales” are mentioned and indeed, art auctions still dominate the art world. It wouldn’t be correct to say that this is changing, exactly, but we have shown that the art world is much broader and complex than it once was. Nevertheless, in secondary art sales, art auctions still dominate and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. Why so?

The answer isn’t easy to give, but can be summarized as “art auctions are the centre of the art world because they have always been the centre of the art world.” That’s not as stupid as it sounds. Basically, art auctioneers (a market dominated by Christie’s and Sotheby’s), offer a focal point for the art world. They have offices in London, New York and elsewhere, hundreds of years of combined experience, a raft of the world’s best art experts on hand, a contact list that nobody else (probably not even the elite dealers) can rival, liquidity that doesn’t exist anywhere else in a market which is notoriously illiquid and knowledge of every trick in the book of buying and selling art. Together, they share around 80% of the world auction market in high-value art and a nearly-monopoly on works over $1 million. This doesn’t include private sales they might be involved in. Long after the elite dealers have gone, Christies and Sotheby’s will still be around.

Although probably not in their current guise…

One of the commonly held misconceptions about these auction houses in particular is that they’re stuffy and traditional. They would probably argue that they possess prestige and heritage, which shouldn’t be confused with stuffy and traditional. We would argue that they’re far more dynamic than this misconception portrays them to be. As Bretty Govery, the deputy chairman of Christie’s Contemporary Art sales has been quoted as saying, “this is business, it ain’t art history.”

In fact, the longer the auction houses exist, the more they mirror financial institutions rather than businesses. Many of the parties involved in the deal-making that goes on behind the scenes at auction houses now have banking backgrounds and a quick schooling in art history, as opposed to the other way around. The auction houses themselves are also increasingly complex. They are as multi-structured as many modern corporations might be. Calling one of the auction houses will send you to their PR department. From there, you may be directed to a client services representative, who will provide publications on an artist as well as sales trends and history of the work you’re interested in.

Away from the sheer volume of sales recorded by each of the two largest auction houses (and the fact that Sotheby’s is by now a listed company on the London Stock exchange), both are now highly international in their nature. The television screens at the front of the auction rooms display prices in pounds, US dollars, euro, Swiss francs, Hong Kong dollars and Japanese yen. The arrival of the Russian rouble to that list in 2007 tells you everything you need to know about the profile of the audience, most of whom are on mobile phones to buyers on the other side of the world.

Given the increasingly rich profile of the client base of these firms, tickets are required for the most important auctions. Note that an evening sale where the attendance isn’t full to capacity is the exception to the rule. The auctions use an English (“ascending”) price system where the bidding starts low and the auctioneer encourages participants to bid higher and higher.  After exhausting all bids within the room (and without), the item is “knocked down” at the hammer price, whereby a premium is added by the auction house to give the ultimate invoice price.

The economics only begin there. As with most parts of the contemporary art world, can be difficult to get a handle on. For example, it generally makes a material difference to the price of a piece if it is sold at auction during a day sale, rather than during a night sale. There’s a logic for this that goes further than the perceived prestige of night sales. A night-time sale in London translates as a morning or afternoon sale in most of the world’s large art markets, bringing more investors online. It stands to reason that this would then push up the price of all works on display (presuming that everyone is bidding).

Normally an auction house offers a standard contract to the artist or consignor with most terms favouring the institution. This refers to the legal transfer of a work to the auction house for sale on the owner’s behalf. The consignors pay a percentage of the selling price as commission, and cover various costs such as insurance or advertising. Depending on the piece being auctioned, the seller’s commission can sometimes to be negotiated to zero (as would be the case for a van Gogh, for example). This applies to artists across the board: the biggest artists can negotiate lower commissions from consignors and the auctioneers, more than anyone, know the price for each artist.

We previously mentioned liquidity. Even in a world of super-collectors such as Saatchi and Cohen, the auction houses offer unparalleled liquidity. It is not uncommon for records to be shattered in Christie’s and Sotheby’s, sometimes several times in one day. For example, in May 2007, the previous record price for contemporary art was smashed four times within 24 hours. This record price for an IPO has never been beaten more than twice in one year, let alone four times in 24 hours.

There’s a danger when talking about auction houses that we only speak of Sotheby’s and Christie’s. Given the share of the market they control between them, this is inevitable. However, there are other auction houses that merit mention. These may have less cachet, but may present buying and selling opportunities just as profitable as any of those in their more prestigious rivals. The third and fourth-placed auction houses in terms of sales are Phillips de Pury in Paris and Bonham’s in London, respectively.

Phillips de Pury focuses on four categories: contemporary art, design, jewellery and photographs. It also specializes in “wet-paint art,” so-called because the art is supposedly barely dry on the canvass, it is so new. Bonham’s are further down the food-chain and are happy enough to admit it. Like Phillips de Pury, they’re not aiming at Russian oligarchs and Middle-Eastern princes. Rather, as Howard Rutkowski, their director of contemporary and modern art points out, they “chip away at the lower end of the market that Christie’s and Sotheby’s don’t care about that much.” Both auction houses aim more at first-time buyers in their 20s and 30s, and anyone else less-established in art-buying circles.

Auction houses compete with each other through a traditional range of marketing techniques but primarily through sales catalogues, sometimes available free. For investors looking to enter the contemporary art world, these catalogues represent an excellent opportunity to see what’s available, from whom and at what price range (at least, going by the guide price). The catalogues are expensively produced marketing documents. By contrast, with the exception of a few dealers like Richard Green, Larry Gagosian and Haunch of Venison, none of the dealership catalogues come close to the same production values with their catalogues.

We have established that the major auction houses are impressive operations. But they’re as fallible as the major dealers and galleries. All of them are likely to come under increasing pressure from online auctions and retailers as internet art-dealing moves out of its infancy stage. Likewise, their valuations are as prone to error, even if they generally get it more accurately than most. Simon Pury, once director of Christie’s Europe was reported to have said, “If you had the same lot sold four times over by four different auctioneers, you would get four different prices.” The range may not be huge, but the message is clear.

Ultimately, what’s important anyway is not the opening price for a piece but the “hammer price.” Art prices are affected by what economists call, “a ratchet effect.” That is, prices of pieces cannot go down once they have begun climbing. This is music to the ears of an investor. The place where this is most in evidence are the auction houses and the English auction system. The price at these auctions never falls, which is another reason why dealers and collectors love to have their pieces dealt with by the houses.

Is the auction system unfair? That’s a question that is repeated over and over. We believe it is fair but not transparent, so there’s a subtle distinction. But the art world as a whole has a long way to go in terms of transparency. Dealers are the first to criticize sealed-bid auctions on the basis that the bidder doesn’t know what their competitors in the bid are bidding and the “hammer price” may end up being far more than the next highest bid. Surely the relevant point here is what the bidders themselves want to pay, regardless of what everyone else wants to? We do believe there is a moral question that needs to be addressed, when auction houses offer a commission to dealers to refer consignments and buyers to them. The dealer is thereby less inclined to inform his client that the commission is negotiable. This, in fact, is where there needs to be more transparency.

For investors starting out in contemporary art, our advice is to use the auction houses as a measuring gauge and somewhere to educate yourself as well as make useful industry contacts. Without proper knowledge of the contemporary art world and in particular who’s who at a particular auction, these events have too many experienced traders passing off lemons as worthy objects of art. With more experience however, there’s no reason to believe that they can’t provide good excellent returns to knowledgeable investors.

 Art Fairs

“Art fairs have surpassed auctions as the premier events for buyers in the markets’ upper tiers.”
Souren Melikian, Art journalist.

Perhaps the best place for someone looking to get involved in contemporary art investing is the growing band of art fairs occurring all over the world. These have come to prominence since the start of the 20th century as a riposte to the dominance of the auction houses. Their continued success – combined with the growth of the internet – may be the biggest threat to the auction houses in their two hundred year existence.

Several fairs on all five continents can now be viewed as industry trade shows, bringing together most of the major dealers, galleries, collectors and general public in the aim of offering specialized works. The biggest of all is Art Basel, which now occurs in Basel and Florida. Some believe that the work on display here and at other events such as London’s Frieze art fair is better than that offered by auction houses in an entire selling season (although we believe it’s still a little premature to say that, it’s certainly headed in that direction).

As always in the world of contemporary art, a lot of window-dressing is on display at these fairs and investors are well-advised to take much of it with a pinch of salt. Art Basel Miami is renowned as much for its party scene as the art on display, which may be a deterrent for anyone looking to get serious about investing in art. One reported interaction between a journalist and an exhibition owner at that fair apparently went something like:

“You’re not on the list!”

“But I’m here to cover your event!”

“Darling, we already have too much coverage!”

Don’t be discouraged, however. Hubris exists everywhere and its existence doesn’t mean that there aren’t good investments to be made if you steer well clear of it.

The four biggest contemporary art fairs, whose reputation attracts the biggest and best of the art world are TEFAF, held each March and known in the industry as “Maastricht.” Then there are the “Basels,” being Art Basel held in June in Switzerland, and its spinoff Art Basel Miami Beach, held every December. Finally, there’s London’s Frieze, which is held in October every year. Several other fairs run concurrently (such as the Chicago Art Fair) but for now, this group of four are the biggest in the industry. Maastricht, for example, spends over a million dollars each year on advertising and attracts close to 100,000 people. It has doubled its price to deter day-trippers but they keep coming, reflecting the growing societal interest in contemporary art.

This growth in the importance of art fairs has been driven in part by tapping into cash in the general public, which wasn’t always available when works were sold at the auction houses or through art dealers’ own networks. This means that the prices achieved can sometimes reach 50% over what was paid for a piece just a few months before only minutes after opening: These fairs have access to millionaires that aren’t interested in going to auctions and art dealerships but can still afford to pay tens of thousands for a piece if it suits them.

Does this democratization of the art world is only being cautiously greeted by the current players in the market. As such, they have begun using a form of crowd control in an attempt to raise the “seriousness” of the general onlooker at the shows. The fairs operate a tiered-ticketing system, whereby more is charged at the beginning to give so-called serious investors to enter first. An example is provided by the Amory Show in NYC, which charges $1,000 to enter at 5pm, $500 for 5.30pm and $250 for 7pm. And all this when dealers might have invited their own clients to enter at noon. It’s not uncommon at Maastricht and Basel to see super collectors like Eli Broad or Charles Saatchi walk among the stands before the shows have even opened to the general public, which does make one wonder – if they’re not buying, why should anyone from the general public take the plunge?

There is a growing element here of “fair fatigue,” although we suspect at least some of the apparent fatigue relates to the fact that the fairs represent a genuine threat to the status quo of the auction houses and galleries. For example, Munichis Michaele Neumeister, one of Phillips de Pury’s partners has said, “whenever I hear about a new art fair starting, it is almost physically painful to me. The art world has become a gypsy circus.” The reality is that the art world has become more transparent and more democratic. To call it a “gypsy circus,” represents a sort of old-world snobbishness, which is slowly dying away in the art world as its members confront a new reality. One potential downside of fairs compared to auctions and galleries is their transient nature and general lack of presentation compared with galleries and auction houses. This can be a blessing or a curse, depending on whether you are able to judge a work in a juxtaposed and cluttered setting, where the light is nearly always excessively bright.

Regardless of the setting, these fairs are becoming increasingly important, as proven by those that attend them. The Wildenstein Gallery and its contemporary art branch joint venture, PaceWildenstein have begun attending Maastricht and Art Basel for example. This is the first time in around five generations that any Wildenstein has attended a fair and it’s a trend that’s likely to be repeated across other contemporary art dealers in time. What’s more – these galleries will be forced to display their best work. Rumour has it that Maastricht kicks out between 5 and 10% of exhibitors every year for not bringing their best work to sell. The tables are slowly turning away from galleries towards art fairs.


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