Thursday, August 7, 2014

Where Economics meets Web Marketing

How is Web Marketing being Influenced by Behavioural Economics?
“Behavioural Economics explores why people sometimes make irrational decisions, and why and how their behaviour does not follow the predictions of economic models.”[1]

“Web marketing includes e-commerce web sites, affiliate marketing web sites, promotional or informative websites, online advertising on search engines, and organic search engine results via search engine optimization (SEO).”[2]

…which together led to behavioural (web) marketing…
“Behavioral marketing targets consumers based on their behavior on Web sites, rather than purely by the content of pages they visit. Behavioral marketers target consumers by serving ads to predefined segments or categories. These are built with data compiled from clickstream data and IP information.
A user visits several travel category pages on a particular site, for example. She's then served airline ads. In most cases, the ads are served through a run-of-site (ROS) placement. The user's behavior is the key, not the placement.”[3 

Behavioural Targeting
The advantage of using behavioural marketing is that it provides marketers with the ability to reach relevant customers outside of contextual areas (e.g. sell them books when they’re not looking at amazon.com). Because this type of marketing can track recent behaviour of the internet user, it can catch them as they enter a specific consumption phase. For example, in the purchase of a car, the process can take between 30 and 90 days and behavioural targeting can send the customer target adverts at each stage of the purchasing cycle.[4] This might look something like:

Period
Suggested Advert
0-30 days: general research
TopGear.com
31-60 days: visiting garages, test-driving, purchase.
Adverts for garages in vicinity
61-90 days: Insurance policies, etc.
Insurance firms, etc.

This type of marketing is very much driven by “big data,” one of the prevalent trends in web marketing today.

There isn’t a clear overlap between big data and behavioural economics; remember that the data tracks behaviour. Then we look at the data in the hope of being able to track future behaviour (which would suggest that it is logical or follows a pattern) when often it doesn’t. It can vary, depending on the mood of the consumer, etc.

Decision Shaping and Nudge
The biggest crossover area in web marketing and behavioural economics happens in an area – or a theory – known as “Nudge.” This is based on a book by Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein. The subtitle of the same book is, “improving decisions about health, wealth and happiness.” That is to say, the book and the area, are about nudging (making consumers take decisions through subtle, persuasive measures) and an area known as choice architecture.

A good article on UX matters[5] provides a few examples of where behavioural economics is affecting web marketing:

-          Opt-in versus Opt-out questions in Web Forums: The example is given of rates of organ donation in countries and the difference in how the question about organ donation is posed. The difference between countries where the question is posed in different ways is significant (i.e. 80% in one country and 20% in another).

-          Problems of Excessive Choice: In one experiment, purchasers were 10 times more likely to make a purchase from 6 items rather than 24.

-          The Role of Context: People gain understanding through the actions of other people, by “following the herd.” The social-content generated online is a good case in point. For example: Amazon providing extensive user reviews (which are sometimes abused by the companies/authors themselves) while Nike and others allow users of their performance trackers to measure progress against other users.

-          Value Judgements: The Economist magazine offers three different offers for subscribers. These are as follows:
o   A web subscription for $59.
o   A print subscription for $125.
o   A print and web subscription fo r $125.

Looking this rationally, one might ask why they offer a print subscription at all? The answer lies in how people make judgements on value. By anchoring the print subscription to a value of $125, people are far more likely to think they are getting a bargain with the print and web subscription at the same price, thus encouraging them to purchase.

“Irrational” Decision Making
An article in the June 2013 Wired Magazine is covered by the Tomorrow Lab[6] provides an insightful interview with the head of advertising agency Ogilvy, Rory Sutherland. It’s worthwhile remembering that Sutherland is at the forefront of investigating where behavioural economics crosses with web marketing, so his knowledge is valuable for anyone looking for research in the area.
Sutherland covers four areas:

The Mere Availability Effect , (aka: the Familiarity Principle)[7] Consumers make purchasing decisions based on what’s available. A good example is how people buy books off-the-cuff at an airport before getting on a plane, but will do some research when looking on the internet. They’re also not going to spend too much time searching for a website, so it’s important to be one of the first sites listed on Google search.

Habituation and Defaults People aren’t informed shoppers. They will go to Amazon again and again, as it requires less cognitive effort. It has less to do with the reliability of the service than the fact that it requires less effort. People won’t spend much time looking at websites if the interface doesn’t lend itself to an easy purchase. Therefore, as the article states, “straightforward layouts, simple navigation, and a checkout process that’s as easy as possible, so as not to place any further obstacles in the path of potential new customers” are all paramount.

Social Proof and Contagion People will copy what others do. That’s why testimonials and customer reviews are so important – these show that promises have been delivered on for prior customers.
In the article, Sutherland also talks about customer loyalty but I fail to see how this is the intersection of behavioural economics and web marketing – rather it is just good company practice.

Nudges: Pioneered by Monty Python.
Appealing to Different Generations
If we accept that humans don’t behave as rationally as traditional models in economics would have us believe, it follows that different generations of consumer will also behave differently. In a paper entitled, “Marketing to the Generations,”[8] authors Kaylene Williams and Robert Page examine where different requirements should tailor their offerings to consumers, depending on the generation, in ways that we might not previously have considered. A breakdown of these differences is provided below:

The Post-Depression Generation
-          Avoid moving menus and use static navigational menus instead.
-          Use large fonts.
-          Make results available without scrolling.
-          In search results, always clearly repeat the user’s query.

The Baby-Boomer Generation
-          Marketers should not use words like, “golden years,” “silver years,” “mature” and “prime time of life.”
-          Use the internet especially for health information.

Generation X
-          “They like initiative that will make things more useful and practical. Give them a lot of stimuli, a challenging environment, and flexibility without long-term commitment. Give them opportunities to learn, grow and improve. For example, ask them to volunteer on entrepreneurial projects.”
-          Extremely disloyal to brands and websites.
-          Doesn’t mind giving feedback – approach them as a consultant more than a seller.

Generation Y
-          “self-absorbed and self-reliant.”
-          8 key values have been described for this generation: choice, customization, scrutiny, integrity, collaboration, speed, entertainment and innovation.
-          Appeal to their belief that they can make the future better: “be sure that they know that your organization speaks to a purpose greater than the bottom line. E.g. global warming, globalization and the advent of the global citizen.”
-          Honesty, humour, uniqueness and information are important.
-          Extremely driven by aesthetics.
-          Immensely untapped for NGOs and non-profit organizations.
-          They expect an internet experience to be interactive.
-          The ability to move content between platforms is essential.

Generation Z
-          Significantly shortened attention spans and respond more to images than text.
-          Enjoys interactive content.
-          Brands must respond to requests within 24 hours
-          Enjoy interaction between mediums (television, internet, SMS).

Beyond Nudges: Tools of a Choice Architecture
A 2012 paper from the University of Ohio[9] discusses some of the tools available to choice architects (i.e. for our purposes, people working in the marketing industry). It divides the tools into two: those used in structuring the choice task and those used in describing the choice options. These are summarized below:

Problem
Choice-Architecture Tool
Examples
Alternative Overload
Reduced number of alternatives
Medicare (Kling et al, 2011) and investments (Cronqvist and Thaler, 2004).

Technology and decision aids
Sorting on attributes (Lynch and Ariely, 2000), mobile devices and applications (Cook and Song, 2009), Smart energy grids.
Decision inertia
Use defaults
Investments (Conqvist and Thaler, 2004)(Madrian and Shea, 2001), Insurance (Johnson et al, 1993) Organ donations (Johnson and Golstein, 2003).
Myopic Procrastination
Focusing on satisficing
Planning Errors (Weber et al, 2007; Shu, 2008), job search (Lyengar et al, 2006)

Limited Time Windows
Gift certificates (Shu and Gneezy, 2010), retirement planning (O’Donoghue and Rabin, 1999), tax credits.
Long Search Process
Decision Staging
Automobile customization (Levav et al, 2007), product evaluation (Haubl et al, 2010)
Describing the Options
Naïve allocation
Partitioning of options
Investments (Bardolet et al, 2009), automobile attributes (Martin and Norton, 2009)
Attribute overload
Attribute parsimony and labelling
Good/bad labels for numeric information (Peters et al, 2009)
Non-linear attributes
Translate and rescale for better evaluation
Credit card repayments (Soll et al, 2011), gas mileage ratings (Larrick and Sol, 2008).
Implementation Issues
Individual differences
Customized information
Politics and energy conservation (Hardisty et al, 2010), numeracy and decision making (Sagara, 2009).
Outcome valuation
Focus on experience
Focusing and satisfaction, cooling-off periods.
  



[1] http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/behavioraleconomics.asp
[2] http://www.webopedia.com/TERM/I/internet_marketing.html
[3] http://www.clickz.com/clickz/column/1701431/behavioral-marketing-101-defining-terminology
[4] http://www.clickz.com/clickz/column/1701431/behavioral-marketing-101-defining-terminology
[5] http://www.uxmatters.com/mt/archives/2010/06/designing-with-behavioral-economics.php00
[6] http://www.thetomorrowlab.com/2013/05/digital-marketing-and-behavioural-economics/
[8] http://www.www.aabri.com/manuscripts/10575.pdf
[9] http://faculty.psy.ohio-state.edu/peters/lab/pubs/publications/InPress_JohnsonShuEtAl_MktLetters_Nudges.pdf

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