Saturday, February 14, 2015

Thoughts on International Business

Making your stuff.
“When Everything is made in China” went the title of a Business Week article in 2002 (Garten, 2002). Although the title may have been sensationalist, in over a decade since, it has become a common refrain in the discussion of understanding how Global businesses operate as complex organisms spread across the world. Challenges such as labour shortages, strikes, currency fluctuations, political risks, tariffs, oil prices and any number of other items influence those global players in different ways than they would a local business. To write global businesses off as merely ‘made in China,’ overlooks much of the complexity and ingenuity that surrounds these organizations.

How Global Businesses Work

Ronald Coase’s classic, The Nature of the Firm is remarkable in many ways. For one, it was written in 1937 when Coase was just a 26-year old but more importantly, explains the role transaction costs play in the genesis of a business. In it, he says “the main reason why it is profitable to establish a firm would seem to be that there is a cost of using the price mechanism”, which until today, forms the basic idea behind many firms as they come into existence where they can reduce transaction costs between individuals (Coase, 1937, p. 390). In fact, low transaction costs are just one of the reasons why so much production occurs in China, as noted in the previous section. For example, many of Taiwan’s well-known computer companies began in the 1980s as Chinese entrepreneurs in Silicon Valley sought lower cost alternatives (Saxenian, 2002).

Global businesses are different to local businesses. This may seem like an obvious statement at first but the implications not only apply to the geography, scale and scope of the businesses: the way in which we interact with these firms is different as well. Our tax schedule changes for them in a way that it doesn’t for smaller businesses. Take the example of state taxes in the United States; companies only need to collect a sales tax where they have a physical presence – effectively excluding e-commerce firms like Amazon from paying sales tax in many states (Ainsworth & Madzharova, 2013). Even office complexes provide them with better rates so that they can become “anchor tenants.” In the early 1990s, with London in the grip of a recession, the landmark Canary Wharf office development was offering 10-year free leases to blue-chip companies to become anchor tenants (Ashworth, 2013, p. 303).

It doesn’t stop there. The internal practices of global businesses become industry standards to follow. Take the example of Toyota’s Lean Six Sigma, an efficient production system developed by the Japanese auto manufacturer (Dahlgaard & Mi DahlgaardPark, 2006), ‘McDonaldization’ (Ritzer, 1983) or even Amazon’s incredible logistics centres (Crandall, Crandall, & Chen, 2014), which the company are planning to augment using same-day drone deliveries (Bensinger, 2013). In short, global businesses are constantly pushing the boundaries in the industries they operate in.

Running these businesses requires “daily assessment of opportunities, risks and trends. Corporate leaders who ignore economic, political, or social changes will lead their companies towards failure. So too will those who overreact to change and perceived risk” (Schmidheiny, 1992, p. 1). This in turn this opens up exposure to new challenges such as exposure to new cultures like McDonalds push towards non-beef burger for the Indian market (Kumar & Goel, 2007)) and complex political environments such as censorship of Yahoo!, Microsoft, Google and Cisco in countries like China (Deva, 2007)). Businesses that operate in environments where their assets can be seized carry a similar risk, as happened with Spanish energy firm Repsol in Argentina in 2012 (Moffett & Turner, 2012).

Given these challenges, one might wonder why businesses need to go global at all. The traditional answer has been, “in search of new markets, cheap labor, and unrestricted production sites” or generally, when a company reaches a certain size and the growth trajectory that its revenues initially experienced begin to tail off (Farazmand, 1999, p. 512). There are a few options to generate growth in those circumstances, for instance mergers and acquisitions (M&A), innovating new product lines. However studies suggesting M&A that they can also destroy value for firms over the long term (Martin & Sayrak, 2003), and innovation is not always easy to generate when the occasion demands it.

It’s not only contact with new clients, which speeds up the process. As Coase (1937) points out, anywhere in the value chain of a business that can make the process more efficient opens up the possibility of outsourcing of production or services. The example of national telecoms providers, many of which never stray beyond national borders, often outsourcing services such as technical support and customer service to countries like India and Bangladesh, where these services can be provided for a fraction of the price offered in western countries (Dossani & Kenney, 2007). Xiang (2007) notes that India in particular, developed an education system, which was aimed at attracting the high-skilled labour, which global businesses look for.

There is generally a diminishing cost and effort required by firms who are already present in several markets to enter new ones. According to Madhok (1997) this is partly due to the generated know-how when making the decision of strategy or entry mode when exploring expansion into new markets. This idea of ‘experiential learning’ helps to explain the presence of global firms operating in so many countries (Zahra, Ireland, & Hitt, 2000). Logic would suggest that these firms should already be much further up the learning curve compared to others just starting out in the internationalization process.

What Learning Curve?

Focusing on process of running global firms until now, there will always be a learning curve when firms physically move to new countries. Taking the advent of the Internet and especially focusing of the example of e-commerce, firms moved further along the learning curve: as soon as an e-commerce business begins, its customer base is global.
Even e-commerce businesses rely on other global firms to conduct business on a global scale. Amazon has fulfilment centres in Europe, but even if it didn’t, it would rely on global Third-party logistics (3PL) services like UPS or FedEx (Wisner, Tan, & Leong, 2015). Likewise, every time a package is sent, it is met at the customs of a country before entering, often being subject to much higher taxes than the product originally cost on Amazon’s website.  

Bloomberg reported on that phenomenon using the example of the price of Sony’s PlayStation 4 in South America. Taking the example of Brazil, when a PlayStation 4 costs consumers nearly $2,000 – and purchasing on Amazon doesn’t make any difference (Milian, 2014)We’re told on a regular basis now that the world is a much smaller place than it used to be. Nowhere is this more true than business. Global businesses are everywhere. After all our discussion about how global businesses work, perhaps this question is best answered by the word ubiquity. Global businesses are ubiquitous – they probably made your breakfast cereal this morning (Kellogg’s), brought you to work (Toyota) took you from the elevator to your office (Kone) and will make your lunch at the canteen (Sodexho). Getting to that point of being ubiquitous – that is how global business works.

Identifying Competitors

Trojan Horse: Technically speaking, a gift from a competitor.
A truism in the world of business is that most companies, which no longer exist, are the ones, which failed to recognize their competitors early enough. By the time they finally recognise the threat posed by these competitors, it was already too late. Very rarely are two businesses, even those in an oligopoly, content to accept their market share: Most Fortune 500 company’s, which won’t talk about future growth in its annual report. And in a market, which isn’t growing, it’s a zero-sum game: if one company gains, another has to lose. Therefore, identifying competitors is paramount.

It’s important to define what ‘identifying competitors’ means.  Many will immediately think of the phrases of the Chinese philosopher Sun Tzu (“supreme excellence consists of breaking the enemy’s resistance without fighting” (Sun Tzu, year unknown)) or the Italian variant, Niccola Macchiavelli (“it is better to be feared than loved, if you cannot be both.”(Machiavelli, 1532))  Their phrases roll of the tongue – easy to recant at a moment’s notice. It’s far too simplistic a view of the competition, however. In fact, the millions of copies of the Art of War which have been sold, combined with the number of its readers who have been taken by competitors in that time should tell us something about the effectiveness of its philosophy.
It’s important for businesses to take a more holistic view of competition. The reality is that even monopolies face competition. Competition exists where previously companies didn’t know it existed – Coca Cola’s competition isn’t just Pepsi Cola; it’s health drinks, sports drinks, people who say that we should stop drinking sugared drinks and more. These ideas were brought to the fore in 1979 by a young Harvard Professor, Michael Porter in his ground-breaking work, “How Competitive Forces shape Strategy.” (Porter, 1979).

Porter’s “Competitive Forces”
According to a 2008 Harvard Business Review article in which he revisits his original ideas, Michael Porter states that he was essentially saying that managers were defining their competition too narrowly (Porter, 2008, p. 1) These were: the rivalry among (immediate) competitors, the bargaining power of suppliers, the bargaining power of buyers, the threat of new entrants and the threat of substitute products or services. Understanding these forces is the bedrock of identifying competition for management. In reviewing his 1979 work, Porter wrote in 2008: “understanding the competitive forces and their underlying causes, reveals the roots of an industry’s current profitability while providing a framework for anticipating and influencing competition (and profitability) over time.” (Porter, 2008, p. 3)

Michael Porter’s key achievement with that framework lies in recognizing some competitors that haven’t even been formed yet. Take the example of Encyclopaedia Britannica, which failed to see the advent of a competitor, Microsoft Encarta, which in turn, failed to see the advent of its ultimate competitor, Wikipedia (Bosman, 2012). Some competitors are the ones who bargain with buyers better than your business. The airline Ryanair jumped ahead of competition in the late 1990s, understanding that customers were happy to receive less service if they had to pay less (O’Connell & Williams, 2005).

How do you Identify Competition that doesn’t exist yet?
Nobody could blame management of the taxi company that didn’t predict the arrival of taxi hailing mobile application five years ago. But five years on, a company offering just that service, Uber, is predicting revenues of $10 billion for 2015 (Frizell, 2014). Even a billionaire investor like Carl Icahn didn’t spot that Blockbuster would be busted by streaming services like Netflix when he invested $320 million in the firm in 2005 (Hoffman, 2010). Management is effectively supposed to keep track of competition that doesn’t exist yet. It’s not as ludicrous a proposition as it may seem and perhaps management should focus particular attention on one word in the question: yet.

Management is seeing that one of the keys to overcoming this problem is looking out for disruptive technologies: new technologies that change the paradigm for existing competitors in an industry. A 2013 by McKinsey (McKinsey, 2013) on disruptive technologies. The report notes that companies shouldn’t focus too much on their largest and most established markets as disruptive technologies and the companies that abide by them can “jump industry or market boundaries and change the rules of the game.” Those companies that identify these competitors before everyone else will be the ones who remember the wise words of Henry Kissinger: “There cannot be a crisis next week: my schedule is already full.” (Augustine, Sharma and Kesner, 2000, p.7)

Sources
Augustine, N.R., Sharma, A., Kesner, I.F., 2000. Harvard Business Review on Crisis Management, Harvard Business Press.
Frizell, S., 2014. A Historical Argument Against Uber: Taxi Regulations are there for a Reason. Time Magazine online. Available at: http://time.com/3592035/uber-taxi-history/
Hoffman, D., 2010. Carl Icahn’s 6 biggest busts…is Genzyme next? Wallstcheatsheet.com. Available at: http://wallstcheatsheet.com/trading-markets/carl-icahns-6-biggest-busts-is-genzyme-next.html/
Machiavelli, N., 1532. The Prince. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780199535699.
McKinsey Global Institute: Disruptive Technologies: Advances that will transform life, business, and the global economy. Available at: http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/business_technology/disruptive_technologies
Porter, M., 1979. How competitive forces shape strategy. Harvard Business Review, March 1979 edition, pp. 137-145.
Portner, M., 2008. The five competitive forces that shape strategy. Harvard Business Review, January 2008 edition, pp. 2-17.
Sun Tzu, date unknown. The Art of War. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780195014761

The advent of big data in the past decade has brought the maxim of management guru, Peter Drucker, “what gets measured, gets managed.” (cited by Prusak, 2010) This can now be done for everything from smart systems in production lines which, using vast amounts of data, can tell when a repair might be required and notify the line manager, to freelance workers online, where the contractor can see how long the contractor has spent at their computer and how active they were in a file. It used to be that assessing performance happened once every quarter on a balance sheet; now, it happens on an ongoing basis through all manner of data streams.

Assessing Performance

In the modern age, we’re programmed to believe that the true measure of a firm’s performance is its share price. Make no mistake – the share price is a good indication of the firm’s performance as viewed from the outside. But there are limitations to this performance measure, since constant fluctuations in the stock market create a lot of “noise,” shrouding the true value of your firm and therefore, a reflection of its performance. A good example is provided by the benchmark figure for an industry, according to a 2009 paper in the Journal of Financial Economics (Sensoy, 2009, p. 25).

The benchmark figure is the return experienced by the industry as a whole. So, taken on its own, 10% annual growth is impressive. But that growth needs to be put in context: if the average company in an industry achieves 30% growth in the same year, suddenly the assessment of the business performance doesn’t seem so positive. In fact, if these figures were the case, you would really have to question the effectiveness of senior management of that business. There could be a number of potential reasons behind the under-performance, but what’s almost certain is that managers haven’t been focusing on value drivers for the business.

What drives value at a firm?
Looking at a number of metrics on an ongoing basis is a good way for managers to assess the performance of their business. One can’t stress enough here the importance of the word ongoing. At any point in time, metrics may all look good together but beware that metrics can also often be filtered to tell the story that the teller wishes to tell. Therefore, looking at the performance marker more often rather than every now and then avoids the chances of this happening. The drivers are many of the simple tenants of management measurement that have existed for years: Return on investment capital, and growth. As the respected McKinsey book on valuations attests, “what drives a business’s value (are) its long-term growth potential and its return on invested capital” (Koller, Goedhart and Wessels, 2010, p.42)

This seems straightforward enough but anecdotal evidence suggests that most managers, when asked on the spot, would not know the difference between accounting profit and economic profit. And everyone knows what growth and debt are, but perhaps they aren’t clear on the relationship between them. As the recent global financial crisis showed, even practitioners are capable of under-estimating the sometimes devastating effects of holding too much debt on the balance sheet when growth figures are attractive. The appropriate level of debt varies by industry, of course. Debt to equity ratios at tobacco firms tend to be higher as the general stability (until now) of their earnings means that they afford higher leverage (Alden, 2010).

The Balanced Scorecard
Beneath the headline figures, there are other measures of performance in a business that managers need to assess on an ongoing basis. This was captured by a seminal book, “the Balance Scorecard,” (Kaplan and Norton, 1996) based on articles they had previously had published on the theme. There, the authors attempt to develop a range of measures for managers to assess the effectiveness of their staff actions as well as whether the company strategy is being implement properly.

Managers can design their own balanced score-card by identifying some financial and non-financial measures and quantifying them in a particular manner. There are numerous examples of where managers have implemented measureable targets (sometimes referred to as “key performance indicators” or KPI, for short), which have affected year-end results in a positive manner. An example given by the website balancedscorecard.org (2011) notes that a company made an income return 10% over its historical best return by managing 3 parts of their business more effectively: optimizing business systems, improving process management and improving product development. These always seemed difficult to measure. Now, using the tools provided by the Balanced Scorecard, managers can assess performance on these too.

Innovation, Customer Satisfaction, Culture and Others
The ways in which business can and indeed, have to track performance are manifold and growing. It used to be innovation was something intangible in the ether. But given the growth that innovation can bring to a firm, managers are looking assess the performance of their R&D departments as well. One measure might be provided by how many patents are being developed by the business. Another might be whether the business leasing the rights of some patents to other business as in the example of Apple leasing patents to HTC in 2012,(Musil, 2012).

Then, there’s customer satisfaction. It used to be assessed by sales. Now, an industry has grown around customer satisfaction. When mobile telecom operators are all selling what is essentially a commodity, they need to find differentiators. The telephonic industry is not just about copper cable – it’s a customer service industry in itself. Vodafone’s 2014 annual report, for example, mentions customer service 213 times (Vodafone, 2014). Customer retention is one of the key metrics of the mobile telecoms industry. The “churn rate”, which isa term used in the telecoms industry to denote “the customer movement from one provider to another (Hung, Yen and Wan, 2006, p.516), features regularly on internal presentations. Clearly, the key to keeping these figures positive is customer satisfaction.

These are just some of the ways in which companies assess performance. As the opening paragraph of this chapter outlined, big data means management is able to assess the performance of more and more variables on an ongoing basis. In the past ten years, companies have been asked to track C02 emissions, air miles and water consumption. The future is likely to see an increased emphasis on assessing performance in these metrics and who knows – other measures of performance that haven’t even been looked at as potential performance metrics yet.

Sources
Alden, M., 2010. Two investing mistakes to avoid and four dividend stocks to look into. Dividend Monk (blog). Available at: http://dividendmonk.com/two-investing-mistakes-to-avoid-and-four-dividend-stocks-to-look-into/
Balancedscorecard.org. Case study available at: http://balancedscorecard.org/Portals/0/PDF/Shat-R-Shield_Case_Study.pdf
Hung, S., Yen, D.C., Wang, H., 2006. Applying data mining to telecom churn management. Expert Systems with Applications 31, pp. 515-524.
Kaplan, R.S., Norton, D., 1996. Wiley Publishing.
Koller, T., Goedhart, M., Wessels, 2010. Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, 5th Edition. Wiley and Sons. ISBN: 978-0-470-42465-0.
Musil, S. 2012. Apple’s patent licensing pact with HTC released – mostly. CNET.com. Available at: <http://www.cnet.com/news/apples-patent-licensing-pact-with-htc-released-mostly/>
Prusak, L., 2010. What can’t be measured. Harvard Business Review. October 2010 edition. Page unknown.

The Challenges of Multi-Site Operations


McDonalds is the example which springs to most people’s minds when they think of multi-site, multi-country operations. In an interview the currency trading manager of McDonalds, revealed that a 1 cent swing in the euro against the dollar can cost McDonalds $100m in its foreign exchange operation[1]. While the McDonalds example is more dramatic than most, currency exchange is arguably one of the more straight-forward of the many challenges which global businesses face in having multi-site operations.

Managing multi-site operations is not a linear equation. That is to say, the expansion of a business from one location to two does not bring about a two-fold increase in the challenges faced by the business. There will be more. In addition to doubling or something approximate to double,the level of effort required for everything that the business has done until now, there will be contingencies that occur, which effectively reduce the by-now established business to a start-up again. Even though there is knowledge acquired along the way – each new location for the business is unique in some way.

Unique is an over-used word, of course, it might even be over-used here. But no two members of staff are the same. Likewise, the immediate business environment that the business faces in a new location will be different. Therefore it would be a good idea to revisit Michael Porter’s five forces (1979) for the business as soon as it arrives in a new city or country. More often than not, there will be at least one new language, a new currency and naturally, different economics (inflation, corporate tax, import and export taxes, etc.). Binding all of these issues together is the issue of culture.

Changing Culture: The largest Challenge of Multi-site Operations
Culture is not a “fuzzy” concept where management is concerned and many businesses have failed to grasp this. Take the example of mergers and acquisitions: in the first three quarters of 2014, this industry was estimated to be worth $2.66 trillion globally (Hammond, 2014). Given the scale of the deals and the overall values involved, it is no surprise culture is probably the first item on the “to do list” of the management involved in these M&A deals, once the deals have been finalized. In fact, before any deal was signed between the companies in question, the issue of culture would have been raised at some level.

When the word “synergy” is mentioned in M&A terms, the synergy is not only a financial estimate – it is also to express the meshing of the two firms’ business cultures. Post-merger integration operations of large consulting firms have grown up around this effort to merge the cultures of multi-site operations. Case studies abound: the text-book case for dealing with culture is Europe’s Banco Santander, which operations all over Europe demands that the firm quick immerses newly acquired branches into its cultural framework. Its acquisition of Abbey National in the UK was a case in point about how culture is managed: unions and distrusting employees all had to be immersed in the Banco Santander culture (Huws and O’Keefe, 2008, p. 3).

Logistical Matters
Culture in the context described in the previous section is mainly an issue for mergers and acquisitions which involve new businesses being brought under the umbrella of the existing business. These companies at least offer management the consolation of already being operational. But there’s also the case of green field operations – establishing operations in a location where there isn’t already a business. This brings about a myriad of challenges for management. Again, we can turn to the experience of McDonalds in dealing with multi-site operations to illustrate this. Their entry to Russia offers a case in point.

McDonalds first restaurant on Pushkin Square in Moscow is probably more famous an icon of the end of the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union than Ronald Reagan’s “Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall” sound bite. The market entry to Russia is often seen as a resounding success – and indeed, it is. But it didn’t just happen. Every detail had to be considered with regard to the new country for McDonalds. For example, for several years, while McDonalds could not guarantee the quality of beef in Russia, it imported bull sperm into the country (Borisova, 2001).

Likewise, despite its massive popularity in Russia, McDonalds was receiving cash in roubles – traditionally not a safe haven currency to put it lightly. Russian law stipulated that the firm cannot expatriate this money back to Canada where McDonalds Russia’s parent company is based, leaving it with a huge amount of cash in a currency that it cannot translate into dollars. Instead, it used this currency to purchase property all over Russia, making McDonalds the largest property owner in Russia after a number of years (Arvedlund, 2005). Nobody said flipping hamburgers was easy.

Finally, having been in Russia for over 20 years, in 2014, the company announced that many of its outlets were being closed down by the authorities for dubious reasons connected to US diplomatic disputes with Russia related to its incursion into the Ukraine. McDonalds plight is probably due in no small part to the fact that the previous mayor of Moscow, a contact of the company in government and the one who secured a stake for the city in McDonalds profits (Jensen, 1999), was thrown out of office in 2010. The example of McDonalds in Russia shows that managing multi-site operations is not just a case of learning a new language and cashing cheques in a different currency; the logistical operations involved can be far larger than anticipated.

Several Challenges at once in 20 different Locations
As this section has illustrated, the challenges for management raised by multi-site operations have the potential expand exponentially rather than in a linear fashion. As such, there is only scope to touch on some. Even with vast accumulated experience on the topic, other authors (cf. Collings, Scullion and Morley, 2007) believe that multinational companies, or even those companies beginning expansion, underestimate the complexities involved in international staffing.

Ultimately, manager cannot be in two places at once. The conference call and other modern communications have slightly eased the challenges of multi-site operations for senior management, but it hasn’t eliminated them. In most instances, the best senior management can do is to delegate to competent on-site individuals. With time, the learning curve for new environments begins to smoothen, at which point, the company can look to new locations and begin the process all over again, each time with small local differences.

Sources
Arvedlund, E.E., 2005. McDonalds commands a Real Estate Empire in Russia. New York Times. Available at: http://www.nytimes.com/2005/03/17/business/worldbusiness/17mcdonalds.html?_r=0

Collings, D.G., Scullion, H., Morley, M.J., 2007. Changing patterns of global staffing in the multinational enterprise: Challenges to the conventional expatriate assignment and emerging alternatives. Journal of World Business. Vol. 42, No. 2, pp. 198-213.

Borisova, Y., 2001. Putting Milk on the Table. The Moscow Times. Available at: <http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/putting-milk-on-the-table/251119.html>
Hammond, Ed,. 2014. M&A deals in 2014 eclipse levels in past 5 years. FT.com. Available at: http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e0c9cbae-45be-11e4-9b71-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3PDyMaHb3

Huws, U., O’Keefe, B., 2008. Managing change in cross-border mergers and acquisitions: Case example Santander and Abbey: Expansion enabling access to new markets. EMCC Company Network. Available online at: <http://eurofound.europa.eu/sites/default/files/ef_files/pubdocs/2008/044/en/1/ef08044en.pdf>

Jensen, D., 1999. The Boss: How Yury Luzhkov runs Moscow. Demokratizatsiya: The Journal of Post-Soviet Democratization. Number 1, Winter 2000, pp. 83-142.

The Role of Senior Management

Envisioning the global strategy of the firm is one of the vital roles of upper management. “It is crucial that the CEO is seen as a proponent of a global vision, which is experienced as relevant throughout the organization” (Bartlett, Doz, & Hedlund, 2013, p. 148).

Why was Steve Jobs such a well thought-of CEO? Some might say it because he designed the iMac in 1997. But he didn’t design it; Jonathon Ive designed it and just about everything else in the Apple stable. Others might answer it because he invented the mp3 player with the iPod. Again, this wasn’t the case: Creative Labs pioneered the mp3 player well before the iPod. The real reason Jobs was so well thought-of was his ability as a senior manager to drive these changes. Under his stewardship, Apple shares went from under one dollar to $100. Driving performance is sort of a catch-all phrase when looking at the role of senior management.

The example of Steve Jobs provides us with the archetypal example of successful modern senior-management: charismatic and always excellent for sound bites providing good media coverage for the firm. Jobs is famous for luring John Sculley away from Pepsi Co by saying “do you want to make sugar water for the rest of your life or do you want to come with me and change the world?” (Feser & Vasella, 2011, p. 143). This lust for innovation, and the ability to recruit the right senior management at the firm was enough to raise Apple’s stock prices on its own.

But while computers and entertainment were Jobs’ speciality, he may not have thrived in other industries. What works in one industry simply won’t work in another. Michael O’Leary at Ryanair has been CEO of the firm since it was a regional airline based in Waterford, Ireland’s fifth biggest city. Under O’Leary’s watch, Ryanair has become the largest airline in Europe by number of annual passengers (Center for Aviation, 2014). This was primarily achieved by aggressively cutting costs and cutting deals with smaller airports. It’s unlikely that Steve Jobs have been the same success at Apple if the emphasis had been on cost-cutting.

Similarly to Jobs, Michael O’Leary thrives on providing media with sound bites. His flippant remarks over the years have created publicity for Ryanair that would probably have cost shareholders a fortune if they had paid for advertising to generate the same PR. Every remark he makes (e.g. an aeroplane “is just a bloody bus with wings” (Tuttle, 2012)) or gesture he provides (e.g. turning up to Dublin Airport Terminal 2 with a coffin reading, “RIP Irish Tourism” (Flynn, 2010)) provides valuable inches of newspaper columns. Again, it’s unlikely that the same approach work at say, Goldman Sachs. Their CEO, Lloyd Blankfein wasn’t inclined to turn up with a coffin saying “RIP traditional investment banking” in the aftermath of the global financial crisis.

Clearly, the role of senior management depends on situational factors such as where the business is in its business cycle. The management at Kodak in 2012 might have been among the best, but it probably would not have made any difference.The performance of peers and underlings is also crucial - Napoleon said that it’s better go be a lucky general than a good general – he was really talking about the quality of his soldiers;changing customer perceptions. Take the example of how findings on the health effect of smoking changed the game for RJR Nabisco’s tobacco division in the 1960s (cf. Burrough and Helyar, 1990) and even one-off events such as the global financial crisis, which many senior financial managers couldn’t predict before it arrived and couldn’t understand after it had.

Who wants to be a (better) Senior Manager?
An industry has grown up around what it means to be a manager and DIY improvement handbooks. In an appropriately titled book on management writing, “the Witch Doctors,” (Micklethwait and Woodridge, 1996) authors John Micklethwait and Adrian Woodridge slate this industry as being nothing more than hokum. The advice is rarely provided by practitioners and is often obscured by “management speak.” Which leads to another trait of excellent senior management: the ability to communicate clearly and accurately: for shareholders and analysts.

Even when management advice is provided by long-term practitioners, it is a dangerous game to play. In 2011, Terry Leahy, then CEO of British supermarket chain Tesco,at that time, the third biggest supermarket chain in the world, released his own collection of management advice, “Management in 10 Words” (Leahy, 2012). Leahy was probably better placed than most to provide advice on management, having started as a branch manager at Tesco and climbing through the ranks to become CEO.

Leahy’s advice came on the back, not only of years of experience in senior management, but also phenomenal success at Tesco: the company had just expanded to the United States, the share price had reached a near peak of £366 (Yahoo Finance) and Tesco’s shares had been given the ultimate seal of approval: Warren Buffett had invested to take a share of Tesco into the Berkshire Hathaway stable. Fast forward five years and Tesco has pulled out of America with $678 million losses, the share-price dropped and Buffett has called his investment in Tesco, “a huge mistake” (Buhayar, 2014).

To be fair, Terry Leahy’s “Management in 10 Words” is possibly among the best that any modern senior manager has written. Perhaps though, he encapsulated the role of senior management best by quitting while he was ahead. Senior management is full of brilliant leaders but they all share one common trait: as human beings, they are ultimately fallible. Leahy’s book on management is like most of the most-acclaimed books on the same topic in that it speaks in generalities. Generalities like “know your enemy” by Sun Tzu the Chinese philosopher will only get any manager so far, unfortunately, particularly when paradigms are changing as quickly as they are now.

A Changing Paradigm for Senior Managers
It is not unusual for modern senior managers to control firms which span five continents and tens of thousands of employees. This would be enough of a challenge were it not for how competitive the landscape has become in almost every industry. Large companies are no longer just looking over their shoulder but to other large companies in countries that before seem irrelevant to their progress. The days of a well-regarded floor sweeper taking over Goldman Sachs (as was the case with Gus Levy) are long gone.

We are now in an environment where masses of children, sometimes no older than 12 years of age, are working in advanced programming – more complex than the type that allowed Bill Gates to develop Microsoft DOS in the 1970s. Many of these children are bilingual, internet consumers (on their parents’ credit cards) and represent the next wave of customers. Senior management are running multi-national companies in this shifting and unforgiving paradigm. They deserve our admiration and pity in equal measure: just as the environment businesses face is a constantly shifting paradigm – the role of senior management is a constantly shifting paradigm. We will finish with the words of Carol Stephensen, former Dean of Canada’s Ivey Business school.
“I remember the days when if you excelled at finance, your chances of making it to the top were better than those of your colleagues in other departments. You did not have to understand marketing – an agency handled that. You didn’t have to talk to customers – the sales representatives handled that. And you did not have to worry about what was happening in another industry. Chances are those events would have absolutely no impact on your company.
That is not the case today. Leaders cannot afford to stay safely tucked away in an ivory tower. They must understand how the different parts of their enterprise work. They must stay on top of developments in other industries. They have to get outside their offices, and talk and listen to their employees, their customers, their stakeholders, their investors and their partners as much as they can.” (Stephenson, 2011).

Sources
Buhayar, N., 2014. Berkshire profit slips on Buffett’s Tesco “mistake.” Bloomberg. Available at: <http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-07/berkshire-profit-falls-8-6-on-investments-to-4-62-billion.html>
Burrough, B., Helyar, J., 1990. Barbarians at the Gate: The Fall of RJR Nabisco. Harper Publishing.
Flynn, F. 2010. Ryanair CEO says $823 million Dublin terminal explains why country is “broke”. Bloomberg.com. Available at: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-11-19/ryanair-s-o-leary-slams-dublin-terminal-as-imf-welcome-lounge.html
Leahy, T. 2012. Management in 10 words: Practical advice from the man who created one of the world’s largest retailers. Crown Business Publishing.
Micklethwait, J., Wooldridge, A., 1996. The Witch Doctors: Making Sense of the Management Gurus. Crown Business. ISBN: 0812928334.
Stephenson, C,. 2011. How leadership has changed. Available at: http://iveybusinessjournal.com/departments/from-the-dean/how-leadership-has-changed#.VM_mM2hzSGw
Tuttle, B., 2012. Possible. Time.com. Available at: http://business.time.com/2012/11/12/new-low-for-flying-standing-room-only/




[1] In conversation, 2011.

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