Showing posts with label ASEAN. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ASEAN. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

The Tech Startup and Venture Capital Scene in Southeast Asia

When one talks about the tech startups and venture capital industries, the mind can wander to Silicon Valley and maybe a handful of other startup hubs like London, Berlin and Paris. But the reality is that startup hubs and the VC infrastructure that naturally builds up around them are springing up everywhere. From Africa to South America, young entrepreneurs are taking advantage of increased connectivity to fuel their creativity and create new businesses, just like the originals have done in garages in South California since the 1960s. The latest – and arguably the most exciting – addition to this trend is now occurring in South East Asia. A number of factors have come together over the past number of years, and together are contributing to a major change in the landscape for tech startups and the VC industry in the region. These contributing factors include an exponential growth in internet usage: the Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia all rank among the top 10 countries for internet usage; by 2020, South East Asia will be home to over 50% of the world’s middle class; and in 2015, South East Asia will be home to 7 of the world’s top 20 fastest growing economies (Bloomberg, 2015), with a total GDP of $1.9 trillion in 2013 (Brown, 2013). The growth isn’t coincidental – rather it comes as the result of a series of policy changes across the region. An ICAEW paper (ICAEW, 2015) notes: “Malaysia rose two places to 20th in the World Economic Forum’s 2015 Global Competitiveness Index, while the Philippines has risen more places since 2010 than any other country. This ranking compares countries on features critical to development such as institutions, infrastructure, business sophistication, health and education. Malaysia is highest among the ‘transition’ economies which are moving from being efficiency-driven to innovation-driven, and hopes to reach high-income status by 2020.” Startup initiatives in the public and private sectors are also to be seen everywhere in the region. In Vietnam, these come in the shape of 5desire, Hatch.vn, startup.vn and Saigon Hub (Do, 2013); in Malaysia, the government has invested just under $20 million to found the Malaysian Global Innovation and Creativity Centre, aimed at supporting and fostering technology startups (Bingemann, 2015); Singapore’s National University has co-founded Block 71, a startup incubator with more than 300 startups already in operation (Bingemann, 2015); and in Hong Kong, a number of similar initiatives have begun, among them the CreateSmart Initiative, the Innovation and Technology Fund and the SME Funding Schemes (E27, 2010). These are to list just some of the statistics and initiatives which point to a paradigm shift. Southeast Asia has become the world’s largest region for research investments (Battelle, 2014, p. 12). Huge gains in productivity will stem from this, with R&D investment being associated with rising GDP. Growing internet usage too can lead to the significant productivity gains which have already been experienced for the most part in most developed economies. Much of this usage is driven by smartphone usage (Klaffke, 2014, p.15) and its usage is already manifesting in areas like E-commerce. E-commerce is not alone, however. An Economist article from back in 2011, notes “Indonesia claims the second-largest number of Facebook members in the world and the third-largest number of Twitter users.” When Thailand’s military staged a coup d´état in 2014, one of their first moves was to close down social media – recognizing its vast usage in the country (Quartz, 2014). Even in Vietnam, social media usage has jumped by 40% since 2014 (Economist, 2015a) Social media applications give rise in turn, to spin-offs such as Instagram and Tinder, themselves now billion dollar businesses. South-East Asia’s familiarity with social media and its booming youthful population are creating an environment where the development of such applications by the local IT crowd cannot be far off. Underlying all of the above is the increasingly positive and internationally-oriented business environment that is being created across the South East Asian nations. The World Bank’s Doing Business Report (2015) outlines these advances. For some years, Singapore has been the best nation in the world to business in according to its criteria, but there are signs of progress across the region, even if they aren’t as fast as everyone would like. It notes that in East Asia and the Pacific countries, most reforms since 2005 have been carried out by Vietnam (23), followed by Indonesia (22) and China (20). A BBC survey of 24,000 entrepreneurs worldwide found that Indonesia was the best place in the world to be a startup entrepreneur (Walker, 2011). An emerging IT class While the middle class in South East asia tends to hog most of the limelight, another wave of people is emerging which can bringing sweeping changes of its own, particularly in the fields of tech startups and VC investment: an emerging IT class. South East Asia now has its own band of international investors and incubators, far better information channels than ever before and an increasingly tech savvy and youthful population (Klaffke, 2014, p. 41). One author notes of Indonesia: “The Indonesian startup scene began with 30 founders in Starbucks in 2010 and now has regular meetings with 200-300 tech entrepreneurs, high-class conferences, co-working spaces, blogs and informal spaces.” (Klaffke, 2014, p. 41) South East Asia has a culture of entrepreneurship which is beginning to manifest itself in information technology. It’s worth noting that microfinance was born in this part of the world. This fact takes on increasing resonance when one considers that South East Asia was home to the second most fintech investments in the world after the US in 2014, with US$797m of investments (TechInAsia.com, 2015). Prominent among the firms who received this investment were Fastacash, a P2P Payments firm from Singapore, Omise, an online payments firm from Thailand and Dr. Wealth, an online wealth management firm from Singapore. A full list of the most funded tech startup firms in South East Asia can be found below (techinasia.com, 2015): Fintech is just one area, however. Angel List has over 550 firms on its books in South East Asia, with an average valuation of just under $3m each. While it may seem small by international standards, one has to consider how this comes against a backdrop of still relatively few of the population having access to high-speed internet as in other parts of the world. Alibaba, the Ecommere giant is swallowing up startups all over South East Asia (Chen, 2015) including Youku, Kanbox and Vendio, in a sign that it sees huge opportunities in the sector. This looks like it could mimic the path already laid down by Silicon Valley: tech giants spawning more tech giants. Few tech giants in the Ecommerce sector compare to the might of Alibaba. South East Asia’s growing consumer class means opportunities are everywhere for tech entrepreneurs willing to try things in Ecommerce. Tech startups like Singapore’s Honestbee (a shopping deliveries service), Go-Jek (the Uber of motorcycles, based in the Philippines), Carousell (a Singapore consumer-to-consumer Ecommerce site), NinjaVan (a pan-South East Asian delivery service using sophisticated algorithms and GPS) and Iflix (Singapore’s answer to Netflix). Consumption accounts for much of GDP growth in the region. This is as powerful a driver for startups as it is for society in general. Indonesia’s middle class, for example, numbered less than 2 million in 2004 and reached around 150 million in 2014. Even if their salaries are still well below those of Europeans or Americans, their vast numbers mean that businesses can at least reach a target market which allows them to sell in massive volumes. What’s more, the volumes means that even niche interests can amount to millions of consumers. VC is never far behind Perhaps there is no better indicator of the potential of the area for tech startups than the news that VC firms are showing keen interest. For the first time, specialist funds are also being created with the intent of investing in and taking advantage of the growing number of sophisticated South East Asian startups. VC firms abound. These include CyberAgent Ventures (with a $50m fund aimed at Indonesia), Golden Gate Ventures (with a $50m fund and strong ties to Silicon Valley), Jungle Ventures (with a $100m VC fund for South East Asia) and Monk’s Hill Ventures (with an $80m fund and looking to add up to 20 firms to its ranks in the coming 12 months) (Vo, 2015). These are some of the VC funds which have driven Southeast Asia to new highs in terms of investments and exits. As the charts below exhibit (expara, 2014), there has been a huge movement towards the region in the past three years. Perhaps the biggest VC investment of all in South East asia has come from Venturra Capital, a $150m fund designated for investments in the region (Russell, 2015). The fund, based out of Jakarta, has been founded by three stalwarts of the VC industry: Stefan Jung, founder and MD of Rocket Internet South East Asia, Rudy Ramawy, a former country manager of Google Indonesia and an active angel investor, and John Riady, director of the Luppo Group, an Indonesian conglomerate with over $15 billion in assets. Certainly, none of their investments will be short for cash or know-how. Venturra has a broad focus, with potential investments being in any area from health to fintech and education. These can be in the B2B or the B2C space. Stefan Jung, one of the fund’s founders told Tech Crunch: “If we believe in the founder and business idea, we want to be working with them as soon as possible… we are willing to write the first check. We’re also in a position where we can lead Series A/B deals. We can write $2/3 million checks, but can also follow on and participate in later rounds.” (Russell, 2015). What enticed a crew of such expertise with such financial backing to look to South East Asia? Jung continues: “the puzzle pieces (for South East Asia) have come together in terms of investors, quality of entrepreneurs, and co-working spaces, accelerators and mentorship. Those didn’t exist three years ago and it’s quite impressive how it has grown.” Growth may be the keyword for South East Asia and its VCs. South East Asia may offer an antidote to the United States VC scene, where ‘funding rounds in Silicon Valley are are happening less often and taking longer’ (Economist, 2015b). No other continent can currently boast of the credentials, which make it the growing VC hub that Stefan Jung speaks of: half the world’s population, becoming more tech savvy, more mobile and above all, more prosperous. The next wave of world VC is set for Southeast Asia and it’s going to make interesting viewing. Bibliography Battelle (2014), ‘2014 Global R&D Funding Forecast.’ Battelle. Bingemann, M., (2015), ‘Southeast Asia leads in hi-tech government funding race.’ The Australian, July 11, 2015. Available online at: http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/technology/southeast-asia-leads-in-hitech-government-funding-race/news-story/49585697377e6cf1310c7c0ea6ffb872?= Bloomberg (2015), ‘World’s 20 fastest growing economies for 2015.’ Available online at: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/20150225/the20fastestgrowingeconomiesthisyear Brown, J., (2013), ‘Southeast Asia: Region on the Rise.’ Inbound Logistics, January 2013. Available online at: http://www.inboundlogistics.com/cms/article/southeast-asia-region-on-the-rise/ Chen, L.Y., (2015), ‘Alibaba buys Youku in deal said to be valued at $4.8 billion.’ Bloomberg Business, November 6, 2015. Available online at: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-11-06/alibaba-agrees-to-buy-video-site-youku-tudou-for-27-60-a-share Do, A, (2013), ’10 reasons why Vietnam’s startup scene is the most aggressive in Southeast Asia.’ TechInAsia.com, September 16, 2013. Available online at: https://www.techinasia.com/10-reasons-vietnams-startup-scene-aggressive-southeast-asia E27 (2010), ‘Southeast Asia startup government funding chart.’ E27, July 20, 2010. Available online at: http://e27.co/southeastasia-funding-chart/ Expara (2014), ‘Venture Capital in Southeast Asia.’ Expara, November 9, 2014. Available online at: http://www.slideshare.net/expara/venture-capital-in-south-east-asia ICAEW (2015), ‘Economic Insight, Southeast Asia, Quarterly Briefing Q4, 2015.’ ICAEW. Klaffke, T., (2014), ‘Indonesia Trends Report, 2014.’ TomCatFuturist.com. Quartz (2014), ‘Thailand’s coup d´état has a social media blindspot.’ Quartz, May 23, 2014. Available online at: http://qz.com/212787/thailands-coup-detat-has-a-social-media-blindspot/ Russell, J. (2015), ‘Venturra Capital is a big-hitting $150m fund for startups in South East Asia.’ Tech Crunch, October 9, 2015. Available online at: http://techcrunch.com/2015/10/09/venturra-capital-is-a-big-hitting-150m-fund-for-startups-in-South East-asia/ Sreda (2014), ‘Results of 2014/Trends of 2015.’ Sreda VC. TechInAsia.com (2015), ’15 most funded fintech startups in Asia.’ TechInAsia.com, 2015. See online at: https://www.techinasia.com/15-most-funded-fintech-startups-South East-asia-infographic The Economist (2011), ‘Indonesia’s Middle Class: Missing BRIC in the Wall.’ The Economist, July 21, 2011. The Economist (2015a). ‘The Internet in Vietnam: If a tree falls…’ The Economist, April 18, 2015. The Economist (2015b), ‘Tech Unicorns: Gored.’ The Economist, November 28, 2015. Vaswani, K., (2012), ‘Indonesia’s love affair with social media.’ BBC News. Available online at: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-17054056 Vo, T., (2015), ‘These venture capital firms are doubling down on South East Asia.’ TechInAsia.com, 2015. Available online at: https://www.techinasia.com/talk/venture-capital-firms-doubling-South East-asia Walker, A (2011), ‘Entrepreneurs ‘most supported’ in Indonesia.’ BBC News. Available online at: http://www.bbc.com/news/business-13547505 World Bank (2015), ‘Doing Business 2015 Fact Sheet: East Asia and the Pacific.’ World Bank, 2015.

Monday, January 6, 2014

Myanmar's Move Forward


 “In a recent speech to the Burmese Chamber of Commerce, Thakin Nu, the Prime Minister, for the first time declared that foreign business had its part to play in Burma’s economic life and that the government was anxious to encourage individual as well as state-owned enterprise.”
                                         
                                                            The Economist, January 8th, 1949.
“We must turn to national industrialization to transform the country into a developed, rich one with a lot of employment opportunities and high per capita income… We have to ensure a proper market economy designed to reduce the economic gap between the rich and the poor and the development gap between urban and rural areas.”
Thein Sein, President of Myanmar, Inaugural Address, March 30th, 2011.
Despite the best intentions of former Prime Minister Thakin Nu, few countries in the world have developed less than Myanmar since 1949. By the end of military rule in 2011, Myanmar found itself considerably behind its ASEAN neighbours. To put this in context: in 1965, it had GDP per capita which was twice that of Thailand and three times that of Indonesia. Now, it has the lowest GDP per capita in Southeast Asia[i]. The country is the only ASEAN nation not to even feature on the World Bank’s Doing Business Report for 2013. But the reformist zeal of current President Thein Sein combined with trade sanctions being lifted by the United States and Europe mean that the next five years have the potential to bring more progress than the last 65. No other ASEAN nation can legitimately make such a claim.

Myanmar: Nothing this beautiful could be all that bad.
Its low starting base effectively means that what would amount to incremental changes in other ASEAN nations will amount to significant progress for Myanmar. Myanmar’s location at the crossroads of Asia also means that it is of strategic interest to many parties. President Obama’s visit in November 2012 – the first ever by a US President – is sufficient indication of that. Situated between India and China, Myanmar is ideally located in what will become the world’s economic heartland in the 21st century. By the early 2020’s, it is estimated that Asia will have a greater GDP than Europe and North America combined[ii]. With India and China providing the bulk of this economic activity (and a highway in Myanmar which links them already in the early stages of development[iii]), Myanmar is set to benefit from sharing borders with global business hubs. And as these economies begin to mature, Myanmar can provide higher growth opportunities for investors. For that to happen however, large-scale change is required in its business environment.
Since Thein Sein’s as President in 2011, government reforms have given cause for cautious optimism. At the forefront of these is the Foreign Investment Law passed by Parliament in November 2012, a document that creates a structured framework in which foreign companies can invest in Myanmar. Most important, it provides guarantees about investment protection and property rights[iv]. Foreigners can now own 100% of an enterprise based in Myanmar in “non-restricted” sectors, where previously the limit was set at 35%. Foreign investors will also be entitled to a five-year income tax holiday as well as a broad range of other reliefs and tax incentives aimed at encouraging new investment. Foreign investors will also be able to lease land from citizens or the state for up to 50 years, effectively knocking a major obstacle to any foreign firms looking to set up factories in Myanmar.
Infrastructure Development
Infrastructure in Myanmar will undergo massive improvements in the next five years. Take transport infrastructure as an example. Myanmar is the only member of ASEAN which is unconnected to any other country by railroad or highway. It has a road density of about 2km per 1,000 people, compared to an average of 11km in ASEAN overall[v]. However, in August of 2012, India provided loans of $500 million to complete its part of a trilateral highway between running between India, Myanmar and Thailand[vi]. In addition, Myanmar will gain its first deep-sea port at Kyaukpyu, which is almost complete, providing the shortest trade-route linking China and the Mekong Basin to India and the Middle East[vii]. A second is planned at Dawei as part of a special economic zone with multiple transport links to ASEAN neighbours[viii] and a third[ix] is already underway in Sittwe as part of an Indian joint-venture which will link India’s north-east with Myanmar’s south west.
Other infrastructure in Myanmar is similarly lagging behind its ASEAN neighbours but will make great strides in the coming five years. With mobile phone penetration of less than 10%, Myanmar is thought to be the second least connected nation in the world after North Korea[x]. The next lowest penetration among ASEAN nations is Laos with slightly over 20%. Compare these with markets like Cambodia and Thailand with 70% and 110% respectively. On January 25th 2013, the Burmese government received expressions of interest to develop the country’s mobile telecommunications infrastructure[xi]. The licences will be distributed in June 2013 and U Kyaw Soe, the head of Myanmar Post and Telecommunication expects penetration of 75% in four years[xii] – effectively a 7-8 fold increase. The knock-on benefits for small and medium-sized businesses should be immense.
A report released by the Asian Development Bank in August 2012 portrayed a dismal picture of Myanmar’s electricity network[xiii]. Only 26% of its population had access to electricity in 2011, compared with 100% in Malaysia, 80% in Laos and over 90% in the Philippines and Vietnam. Electricity is essential in a productive business environment. The Harvard Kennedy School terms it, “the missing prerequisite for development[xiv],” and the country’s leaders and the World Bank prioritized its development in a 3-day summit in Yangon at the beginning of February[xv]. The World Bank has committed $165 million in zero-interest loans for such priority needs. Norway are also assisting Myanmar with drafting new electricity legislation[xvi], the aim of which will allow private sector participation in power generation ,promote off-grid electrification and establish a regulator in line with international best practises. It is expected to be completed by June 2014.
Credit Availability
The financial landscape for business is also slowly changing. Since January 2013, foreign debit and credit cards have been accepted by Myanmar’s bank network[xvii], allowing foreigners increased access to local currency (which itself was moved to a managed exchange-rate on April 1st, 2012)[xviii]. The country’s first ever point-of-sale transaction occurred in February 2013[xix], representing a major inflection point for any business environment. Elsewhere, the IFC has invested $2 million in ACLEDA bank in order to help establish a new microfinance institution in Myanmar, the ultimate goal of which is to provide more than 200,000 loans to small businesses before 2020[xx]. The effect microfinance institutions have had in other poorly developed countries has been phenomenal. As of January 2013, Myanmar is the only ASEAN nation where microfinance has yet to be introduced. Its arrival means that even the poorest Burmese citizens will have some access to credit.
Higher up the business scale, at the end of 2012, the government approached 22 local firms about the possibility of listing on a revamped stock exchange planned for 2015[xxi]. This could signal the very early beginnings of capital markets in Myanmar. Although still early days, a local stock market has the potential to provide these firms with cheaper access to capital, increase their financing opportunities and hopefully, incentivize them to adopt better corporate governance. With so many vested interests in large Myanmar companies such as the Myanmar Economic Corporation (MEC) or the Union of Myanmar Economic Holdings (UMEH), a stock market could provide at least two benefits which will be key to Myanmar’s future prosperity: tying these vested interests to political and economic stability and forcing their hand to increase productivity and transparency within the firms.
Conclusion
As the quotations at the beginning of this article show, Myanmar has been at a similar juncture before. The story of reform in Myanmar is a seductive one, but not easily achieved. There are still major hurdles to overcome in terms of corruption and efficiency. A business culture isn’t created as soon as sanctions are dropped. However, the fact that Thein Sein is aiming for Myanmar to leave its status as a “Least Developed Country,” behind shows that at least achievable targets are being set. Aung Thura, CEO of ThuraSwiss, a consultancy in Myanmar notes[xxii]: “There are very high expectations in the general public. However, we need to realistically assess the economic development of the country. Implementation is also problematic. Although the reforms look good on paper, time and again, we have seen that implementation is paramount.” Those reforms deserve implementation. Now is Myanmar’s time to move forward.




[i] http://blogs.wsj.com/searealtime/2012/08/20/myanmars-growing-but-has-a-long-way-to-go/
[ii] http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21570729-australia-still-does-not-seem-entirely-sure-where-it-edge
[iii] http://inchincloser.com/2011/01/14/china-india-myanmar-construct-the-stilwell-road-to-boost-regional-trade/
[iv] http://www.pwc.com/sg/en/assets/document/myanmar_business_guide.pdf
[v] Myanmar Transport Sector Initial Assessment, Asian Development Bank, October 2012.
[vi] http://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/2012-08-13/india/33181793_1_trilateral-highway-thein-sein-india-asean
[vii] http://www.economist.com/blogs/banyan/2012/07/investing-myanmar
[viii] http://www.economist.com/blogs/banyan/2012/07/investing-myanmar
[ix] http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/27/us-myanmar-india-idUSBRE84Q00620120527
[x] http://in.mobile.reuters.com/article/idINBRE88C03K20120913?irpc=932
[xi] http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/3ade6302-5ef8-11e2-9f18-00144feab49a.html#axzz2K7HETAFu
[xii] http://www.economist.com/blogs/banyan/2012/07/investing-myanmar
[xiii] http://www.adb.org/documents/myanmar-energy-sector-initial-assessment
[xiv] http://www.ash.harvard.edu/extension/ash/docs/electricity.pdf
[xv] http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2013/02/05/World-Bank-Group-to-Support-Myanmar-8217-s-Plan-to-Improve-People-8217-s-Access-to-Electricity?cid=EXT_LinkedinWorldBank_P_EXT
[xvi] http://www.adb.org/news/adb-norway-help-update-myanmar-electricity-law
[xvii] http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/Myanmar-banks-join-Visa-ATM-network-30196850.html
[xviii] http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2013/cr1313.pdf
[xix] http://blogs.wsj.com/searealtime/2013/02/01/getting-credit-in-myanmar/
[xx] http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2013/02/05/World-Bank-Group-to-Support-Myanmar-8217-s-Plan-to-Improve-People-8217-s-Access-to-Electricity
[xxi] http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304870304577489544120654560.html
[xxii] Aung Thura, in an interview given to the author; 23/01/2013.